Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (407/501) | 68% (220/325) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (407/501) | 68% (220/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (34/69) | 34% (30/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (156/201) | 55% (57/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (12/45) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (22/36) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Stokes J. ⚽, Norwood O. (A),
- 11', Olaofe T. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', McCarthy C. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 1, Wootton K. ⚽, Stokes J. (A),
- 63', Burroughs J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 72', Olaofe T. ↓, Sidibeh A. ↑,
- 72', Osborn B. ↓, Edun T. ↑,
- 72', Stokes J. ↓, Bate L. ↑,
- 74', Hoskins S. 🟨,
- 79', Guthrie J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 79', Eaves T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 81', Fornah T. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 90+2', Bailey O. ↓, Olowu J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stockport County
65.6% | Draw
20.3% | Northampton Town
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (-16.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stockport County that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stockport County - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.49) |
4.61 ↑
(4.1) |
6.58 ↑
(5.73) |
6.6%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stockport County - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Northampton will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Stockport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Northampton is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Northampton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Stockport has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Stockport is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Stockport County won against Northampton Town?
Stockport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Stockport County?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stockport County - Northampton Town were as follows:
01.01.2026
Northampton Town
-
Stockport County
0:0
04.03.2025
Northampton Town
-
Stockport County
1:1
22.10.2024
Stockport County
-
Northampton Town
1:1
14.01.2023
Stockport County
-
Northampton Town
2:0
24.09.2022
Northampton Town
-
Stockport County
2:1
Latest results of Stockport County
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
