Warta Poznań vs Podhale Nowy Targ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 2 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
46
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
911
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Avdeev D. 🟨,
  • 40', Nowak A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Stanek M. , Tonder F. ,
  • 58', Walus F. , Szymanek K. ,
  • 58', Zalewski S. , Kornobis I. ,
  • 60', Jakubowski F. 🟨,
  • 66', Lipien M. , Pena C. ,
  • 67', Giel P. , Hamed M. ,
  • 71', Nowak A. , Mikolajczyk B. ,
  • 71', Kumoch K. , Steblecki S. ,
  • 72', Dziedzic K. , Niedzielski J. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Stefaniak M. ,
  • 80', Kornobis I. 🟨,
  • 84', Chojecki A. , Rubis J. ,
  • 84', Seweryn L. , Vosko P. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 0, Tonder F. ,

Chances of winning


Warta Poznań
40.7%
Draw
28.3%
Podhale Nowy Targ
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.4% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 26.4% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Podhale Nowy Targ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warta Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podhale Nowy Targ than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Warta Poznań - Podhale Nowy Targ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.07)
    3.22
    (3.14)
    2.94
    (3.14)
    9.7%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Warta has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Podhale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Podhale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Warta Poznań
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Skierniewice27175556:362056
    2Ol. Grudziadz27158457:322553
    3Warta Poznan26149344:281651
    4Sandecja Nowy S271110642:34843
    5Podhale Nowy Targ261011532:26641
    6Chojniczanka27117942:35740
    7Swit Szczecin27117944:44040
    8Podbeskidzie271161049:40939
    9Slask Wroclaw II26116947:371039
    10R. Rzeszow2799938:37136
    11Hutnik Krakow27981037:34335
    12S. Wola27712843:37633
    13Bielsko-Biala27891037:42-533
    14Kleczew26871142:42031
    15Zaglebie Sosnowiec27761430:53-2327
    16KKS Kalisz27591328:45-1724
    17LKS Lodz II27581428:49-2123
    18GKS Jastrzebie ✔ 27072018:63-456

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    GKS Jastrzebie is Relegated to