Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 3
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3416
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
8.82% (3/34)31.25% (5/16)
Blocked Shots
2113
Goalkeeper Saves
1131
Saves PCT
68.75% (11/16)91.18% (31/34)
Penalties
48
PIM
1127
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/8)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (8/8)
Hits
1915
Faceoffs Won
2529
Faceoffs %
46.353.7
Giveaways
1517
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 4)
  • 01:06, 1 - 0, Sourdif J. (G), Wilson T. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
  • 02:39, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 02:53, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
  • 03:25, Frank E. (2 min),
  • 05:21, 1 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 07:06, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 11:36, 1 - 3, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 18:19, 1 - 4, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
  • 18:19, Thompson L. , Lindgren C. ,
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:12, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 05:26, 2 - 4, Chychrun J. (G),
  • 18:25, Wilson T. (5 min),
  • 18:25, Douglas C. (2 min),
  • 18:25, Douglas C. (5 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:58, Sandin R. (2 min),
  • 05:24, 3 - 4, Frank E. (G), Milano S. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
  • 06:30, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 07:17, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 08:25, Chychrun J. (2 min),
  • 15:51, 3 - 5, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
41.5%
Draw
22.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 21.7% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 21.9% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.48)
    4.21
    (4.47)
    2.61
    (2.48)
    5.1%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 6.6%60%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Dowd N. (Upper-Body Injury) Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Lower-Body Injury) Holmberg P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:59. (average 3.1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:2
    14.10.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    01.03.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3
    27.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 4:5
    26.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:0
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    10Seattle Kraken712571029204:22174
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    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
    3Tampa Bay Lightning71359621260:19994
    4Montreal Canadiens7128121021251:23190
    5Boston Bruins722911824240:22488
    6Pittsburgh Penguins722971620247:22888
    7Columbus Blue Jackets7227111123232:21987
    8New York Islanders732714527211:20787
    9Ottawa Senators723261024242:22086
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7122131224209:21582
    12Washington Capitals73315928227:21581
    13New Jersey Devils712512232197:21576
    14Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
    15Florida Panthers71278333213:23673
    16New York Rangers72199935202:23065

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )