Washington Capitals vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:5
22/11/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, V Sport Live 3
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Live 3
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Live 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3416
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
8.82% (3/34)31.25% (5/16)
Blocked Shots
2113
Goalkeeper Saves
1131
Saves PCT
68.75% (11/16)91.18% (31/34)
Penalties
48
PIM
1127
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
01
Power-play PCT
0% (0/8)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)100% (8/8)
Hits
1915
Faceoffs Won
2529
Faceoffs %
46.353.7
Giveaways
1517
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 4)
  • 01:06, 1 - 0, Sourdif J. (G), Wilson T. (A), Fehervary M. (A2)
  • 02:39, Moser J.J. (2 min),
  • 02:53, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
  • 03:25, Frank E. (2 min),
  • 05:21, 1 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 07:06, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 11:36, 1 - 3, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 18:19, 1 - 4, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
  • 18:19, Thompson L. ↓, Lindgren C. ↑,
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:12, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 05:26, 2 - 4, Chychrun J. (G),
  • 18:25, Wilson T. (5 min),
  • 18:25, Douglas C. (2 min),
  • 18:25, Douglas C. (5 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:58, Sandin R. (2 min),
  • 05:24, 3 - 4, Frank E. (G), Milano S. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
  • 06:30, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 07:17, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 08:25, Chychrun J. (2 min),
  • 15:51, 3 - 5, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
41.5%		Draw
22.6%		Tampa Bay Lightning
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 21.7% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 21.9% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
    •

    Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.33 ↓
    (2.48)    		 4.21 ↓
    (4.47)    		 2.61 ↑
    (2.48)    		 5.1%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 6.6% – 60%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Dowd N. (Upper-Body Injury) Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Lower-Body Injury) Holmberg P. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 61:59. (average 3.1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:2
    14.10.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    01.03.2025 Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3
    27.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 4:5
    26.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals 3:0
    Latest results of Washington Capitals
    20.11.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Washington Capitals 4:8 ✺
    19.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Edmonton Oilers 7:4 ✺
    17.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Los Angeles Kings 2:1 ✺
    15.11.2025 Washington Capitals - New Jersey Devils 2:3 ✺
    13.11.2025 Florida Panthers - Washington Capitals 6:3 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    20.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers 2:1 ✺
    18.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils 5:1 ✺
    16.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Vancouver Canucks 2:6 ✺
    15.11.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:3 ✺
    12.11.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - New York Rangers 3:7 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 814771116300:203119
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 8238121220279:226112
    3Minnesota Wild ✔ 8231151224272:240104
    4Vegas Golden Knights ✔ 823091726265:25095
    5Utah Mammoth ✔ 813310632265:23592
    6Edmonton Oilers ✔ 813191130276:26891
    7Anaheim Ducks ✔ 812517633268:28490
    8Los Angeles Kings ✔ 8122132026224:24490
    9Nashville Predators8128101033243:26486
    10San Jose Sharks812612835245:29184
    11St. Louis Blues813241233226:25584
    12Winnipeg Jets812871234230:25482
    13Seattle Kraken812681136226:26179
    14Calgary Flames81267939209:25875
    15Chicago Blackhawks822271439213:27572
    16Vancouver Canucks811510848215:31058


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes ✔ 823914722296:240113
    2Buffalo Sabres ✔ 82428923288:241109
    3Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ 824010626290:231106
    4Montreal Canadiens ✔ 8234141024283:256106
    5Boston Bruins ✔ 8233121027272:250100
    6Ottawa Senators ✔ 823861127278:24699
    7Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ 823471625293:26898
    8Philadelphia Flyers ✔ 8227161227250:24398
    9Washington Capitals82376930263:24495
    10Detroit Red Wings8230111031241:25892
    11Columbus Blue Jackets8228121230253:25392
    12New York Islanders822914534233:24191
    13New Jersey Devils822913337230:25487
    14Florida Panthers82328438251:27684
    15Toronto Maple Leafs822391436253:29978
    16New York Rangers82259939238:25077

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
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