Result
3:1
03/10/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN USA, MSG Sportsnet, NESN Plus, NHL Network, SportsNet Pittsburgh |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 5% (1/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95% (19/20) | 93.1% (27/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/7) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 100% (7/7) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 60.87 | 39.13 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 02:26, 1 - 0, D'Astous C. (G), Hagel B. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
- 08:35, Sourdif J. (2 min),
- 16:30, 2 - 0, Geekie C. (G), Hagel B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
- 18:02, McDonagh R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 02:43, Protas A. (2 min),
- 07:04, 2 - 1, Sourdif J. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Jenner B. (A2)
- 13:54, Lilleberg E. (5 min),
- 13:54, Desharnais V. (5 min),
- 14:56, Holmberg P. (2 min),
- 14:56, Chychrun J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 00:32, Girgensons Z. (2 min),
- 00:32, Wilson T. (2 min),
- 08:57, Point B. (2 min),
- 12:56, Fehervary M. (2 min),
- 17:55, 3 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
Chances of winning
Tampa Bay Lightning
51.6% | Draw
21.7% | Washington Capitals
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Washington Capitals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.19) |
4.37 ↑
(4.26) |
3.51 ↑
(2.73) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Washington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Tampa Bay (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Tampa Bay (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5, OT - Tampa Bay (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Tampa Bay (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
- In recent outings, Tampa Bay has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
- Washington shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
- Tampa Bay could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
- A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tampa Bay holding a narrow advantage.
- Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury)
James D.
(Broken Hand).
- Confirmed absences for Washington: Sandin R.
(Knee Injury).
- In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:60 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).
- Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 35:31 goals (averaging 3.5:3.1 per game).
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Washington Capitals?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Washington Capitals won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Washington Capitals has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Washington Capitals were as follows:
22.11.2025
Washington Capitals
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:5
08.11.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Washington Capitals
3:2
14.10.2025
Washington Capitals
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
01.03.2025
Washington Capitals
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
1:3
27.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Washington Capitals
4:5
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest results of Washington Capitals
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Edmonton Oilers | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22:16 | 7 |
| 2 | Winnipeg Jets | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 3 | Utah Mammoth | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Minnesota Wild | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Colorado Avalanche | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 4 |
| 7 | Anaheim Ducks | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 4 |
| 8 | San Jose Sharks | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Kraken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Vancouver Canucks | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 4 |
| 11 | Nashville Predators | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 12 | St. Louis Blues | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
| 13 | Dallas Stars | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 2 |
| 14 | Chicago Blackhawks | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:17 | 2 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Kings | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9:15 | 1 |
| 16 | Calgary Flames | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:16 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | New York Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 |
| 2 | Florida Panthers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11:12 | 5 |
| 4 | Ottawa Senators | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:8 | 4 |
| 5 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Buffalo Sabres | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 8 | Washington Capitals | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 4 |
| 9 | Boston Bruins | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:13 | 4 |
| 11 | Montreal Canadiens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12:14 | 3 |
| 12 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 2 |
| 13 | New York Islanders | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 |
| 14 | Detroit Red Wings | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 2 |
| 15 | New Jersey Devils | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:13 | 2 |
| 16 | Philadelphia Flyers | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:17 | 2 |
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