Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury
Result
72:88
27/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6168
Field Goals Made
2435
Field Goals %
39.3%51.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4547
2-Point Field Goals Made
1930
2-Point Field Goals %
42.2%63.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1621
3-Point Field Goals Made
55
3-Point Field Goals %
31.3%23.8%
Free Throws Attempted
2214
Free Throws Made
1913
Free Throws %
86.4%92.9%
Offensive Rebounds
96
Defensive Rebounds
2327
Total Rebounds
3233
Assists
1922
Blocks
25
Turnovers
1713
Steals
810
Personal Fouls
1519

Chances of winning


Washington Mystics
26.9%
Phoenix Mercury
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.3% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1% 65.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Mystics has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Mystics than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Washington Mystics, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Mercury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (3.39)

    1.3
    (1.34)
    5.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • What is the prediction for Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Phoenix will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Phoenix is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Washington will win today's game, with odds of 3.44.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1640:1694. (average 82:84.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 756:761. (average 84:84.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics 68:62
    05.09.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics 77:90
    16.07.2024 Washington Mystics - Phoenix Mercury 87:96
    23.05.2024 Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics 83:80
    05.09.2023 Phoenix Mercury - Washington Mystics 77:100
    Latest results of Washington Mystics
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )