Result
27/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 22
- Referee: Norton P. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (544/620) | 73% (256/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (544/620) | 73% (256/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (23/46) | 31% (23/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (152/198) | 56% (55/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Boyle A. 🟨,
- 39', Grace L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Burke G. ↓, Byrne J. ↑,
- 65', Watts D. ↓, Gaffney R. ↑,
- 68', McDonald R. ↓, McMenamy D. ↑,
- 71', Dempsey J. ↓, White K. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Gaffney R. ⚽,
- 76', Grant D. ↓, Kovalevskis M. ↑,
- 80', Burke R. ↓, Coyle T. ↑,
- 87', Horton G. 🟨,
- 88', Noonan M. ↓, O'Neill G. ↑,
- 89', Mandroiu D. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamrock Rovers
72.7% | Draw
17.9% | Waterford United
9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Waterford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)The ML Model estimate for Shamrock Rovers aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterford United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Shamrock Rovers - Waterford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3 ↓
(1.36) |
5.18 ↑
(4.45) |
9.68 ↑
(8.93) |
6.7%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers - Waterford United?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Shamrock will win (votes: 22 - 88%). Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 75.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shamrock Rovers will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 4.
- Shamrock is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Waterford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waterford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shamrock is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Shamrock: Matthews A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Waterford: Radkowski K.
(Injury)
Smith M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Shamrock: Clarke T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Waterford: McDonald R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamrock won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 48:16. (average 2.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamrock won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 24:9. (average 2.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamrock Rovers won against Waterford United?
Shamrock Rovers has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Waterford United won against Shamrock Rovers?
Waterford United has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamrock Rovers - Waterford United were as follows:
16.05.2025
Waterford United
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:3
11.04.2025
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford United
2:0
01.11.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford United
2:1
02.08.2024
Waterford United
-
Shamrock Rovers
1:2
06.05.2024
Shamrock Rovers
-
Waterford United
1:3
Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
Latest results of Waterford United
Irish Premier Division Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:23 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 36:26 | 10 | 46 |
| 3 | Derry City | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 30:26 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | St. Patricks | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Waterford | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 33:48 | -15 | 34 |
| 8 | Galway | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 29 |
| 10 | Cork City | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
