Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier Division - Round 30

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.40
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
78% (304/390)81% (394/488)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.912.07
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
78
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1914
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
78% (304/390)81% (394/488)
Long passes
49% (31/63)38% (24/64)
Passes in final third
64% (90/141)59% (64/108)
Crosses
5% (1/20)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.361.02
Throw-ins
1524
Fouls
1210
Tackles
92% (11/12)100% (10/10)
Duels won
3834
Clearances
2621
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.070.91
Goals prevented
0.07-0.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Radkowski K. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Honohan J. , Cleary D. (A),
  • 39', Olayinka J. 🟨,
  • 40', O'Sullivan C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Glenfield S. 🟨,
  • 57', Coyle T. , Lonergan T. ,
  • 68', Miles J. 🟨,
  • 70', Mandroiu D. , Watts D. ,
  • 71', McGovern J. , Burke G. ,
  • 71', McEneff A. , Gaffney R. ,
  • 72', 0 - 2, Healy M. , Matthews A. (A),
  • 75', Dempsey J. 🟨,
  • 81', Dempsey J. , White K. ,
  • 87', Honohan J. , Kavanagh S. ,
  • 87', Healy M. , O'Neill G. ,
  • 88', Miles J. , Faal M. ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, Lonergan T. ,

Chances of winning


Waterford
19.3%
Draw
25.4%
Shamrock Rovers
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 24.3% 55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3% 23.5% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waterford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Shamrock Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Waterford aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Waterford - Shamrock Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.91
    (4.71)
    3.69
    (3.88)
    1.72
    (1.69)
    5.7%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Waterford - Shamrock Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Waterford will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Shamrock will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shamrock: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shamrock (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 0.
    • Waterford has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Shamrock is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Shamrock may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Waterford has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Shamrock is seen as the favorite.
    • There are questionable in Shamrock: Malley C. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 15:48. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waterford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.7:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waterford - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
    27.06.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Waterford 0:0
    16.05.2025 Waterford - Shamrock Rovers 1:3
    11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Waterford 2:0
    01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers - Waterford 2:1
    02.08.2024 Waterford - Shamrock Rovers 1:2
    Latest results of Waterford
    29.08.2025 Cork City - Waterford 2:0
    22.08.2025 Waterford - Sligo Rovers 1:2
    15.08.2025 Cork City - Waterford 2:1
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bohemians43108:2610
    2St. Patricks42115:237
    3Derry City42118:627
    4Drogheda42115:327
    5Shelbourne31204:315
    6Shamrock Rovers31115:414
    7Galway41122:3-14
    8Dundalk40314:8-43
    9Waterford40223:7-42
    10Sligo Rovers40131:7-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1