Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Benbow C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', 1 - 1, Nelson A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Waterhouse
46.1% | Draw
29.4% | Tivoli Gardens
24.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98
(1.98) |
3.1 ↓
(3.22) |
3.72 ↓
(3.81) |
9.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 2.
- Waterhouse is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tivoli Gardens has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Waterhouse could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterhouse won against Tivoli Gardens?
Waterhouse has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Waterhouse?
Tivoli Gardens has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
08.12.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Waterhouse
2:1
12.01.2025
Waterhouse
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:1
06.10.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Waterhouse
0:1
29.04.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Waterhouse
0:2
22.04.2024
Waterhouse
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:1
Latest results of Waterhouse
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 22 | 51 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 37:12 | 25 | 45 |
| 3 | Racing United | 25 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 38:18 | 20 | 45 |
| 4 | Portmore | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 32:17 | 15 | 43 |
| 5 | Waterhouse | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 24:19 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Dunbeholden | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 19:26 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:34 | 3 | 31 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 26 |
| 12 | Molynes | 24 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 33:48 | -15 | 21 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17:63 | -46 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
