Result
03/05/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 38
Chances of winning
Tivoli Gardens
26.1% | Draw
26.1% | Cavalier
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Gardens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Cavalier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavalier than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↓
(4.14) |
3.48 ↓
(3.5) |
1.89 ↑
(1.78) |
10.3%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Tivoli Gardens (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tivoli Gardens (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cavalier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tivoli Gardens has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cavalier is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Cavalier?
Tivoli Gardens has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalier won against Tivoli Gardens?
Cavalier has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Gardens - Cavalier were as follows:
25.01.2026
Cavalier
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:2
05.10.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
0:2
03.04.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
1:1
30.01.2025
Cavalier
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:0
03.11.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Cavalier
1:1
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Latest results of Cavalier
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay ✔ | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 78:41 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 62:24 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Portmore | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Waterhouse ✔ | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 44:32 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Racing United | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 37 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 55:44 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37:53 | -16 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 40 |
| 12 | Molynes | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 51:71 | -20 | 36 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police ✔ | 37 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 25:101 | -76 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Spanish Town Police is Relegated to
