Result
1:0
15/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 34
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Waterhouse 54.2% | Draw 25.7% | Tivoli Gardens 20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waterhouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (1.79) |
3.56 ↓ (3.59) |
4.57 ↑ (4.18) |
9.2% (7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 1.
- Waterhouse is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Tivoli Gardens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Waterhouse is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Waterhouse won against Tivoli Gardens?
Waterhouse has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Waterhouse?
Tivoli Gardens has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
15.02.2026
Waterhouse
-
Tivoli Gardens
1:1
08.12.2025
Tivoli Gardens
-
Waterhouse
2:1
12.01.2025
Waterhouse
-
Tivoli Gardens
0:1
06.10.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Waterhouse
0:1
29.04.2024
Tivoli Gardens
-
Waterhouse
0:2
Latest results of Waterhouse
Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montego Bay ✔ | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 78:41 | 37 | 71 |
| 2 | Mount Pleasant | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 62:24 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Portmore | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 50:34 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | Waterhouse ✔ | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 44:32 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Racing United | 37 | 13 | 17 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 37 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 53:40 | 13 | 55 |
| 7 | Arnett Gardens | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 55:44 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Chapelton | 37 | 14 | 7 | 16 | 40:47 | -7 | 49 |
| 9 | Dunbeholden | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 40:44 | -4 | 48 |
| 10 | Tivoli | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 37:53 | -16 | 44 |
| 11 | Treasure Beach | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 40 |
| 12 | Molynes | 37 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Harbour View | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 51:71 | -20 | 36 |
| 14 | Spanish Town Police ✔ | 37 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 25:101 | -76 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Spanish Town Police is Relegated to