Result
2:0
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 42
- Referee: Martin S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (126/211) | 79% (356/448) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (126/211) | 79% (356/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (20/58) | 37% (22/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (45/84) | 67% (71/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Peart-Harris M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Irankunda N. 🟨,
- 59', Peart-Harris M. 🟨,
- 60', Mendy N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 61', Petris J. ↓, Keben K. ↑,
- 61', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Doumbia M. ↑,
- 68', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
- 71', Louza I. 🟨,
- 78', Peart-Harris M. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
- 87', Donley J. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 89', Goglichidze S. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 0, Harris M. ⚽,
- 90+3', Konak Y. E. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 90+4', Lankshear W. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
39.1% | Draw
28.8% | Watford
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oxford United - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.97) |
3.29 ↑
(3.25) |
2.95 ↑
(2.31) |
5.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Watford?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Watford will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 39.2% – 89.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Shoulder Injury)
Goodrham T.
(Ankle Injury)
Leigh G.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Grieves J.
(Inactive)
Kyprianou H.
(Ankle Injury)
Maamma O.
(Muscle Injury)
Ngakia J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Currie J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Watford: Abankwah J.
(Injury)
Bola M.
(Inactive)
Irankunda N.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Watford?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Oxford United?
Watford has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Watford were as follows:
04.10.2025
Watford
-
Oxford United
2:1
15.03.2025
Oxford United
-
Watford
1:0
08.11.2024
Watford
-
Oxford United
1:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
