Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.74 | 1.24 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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27 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
83% (368/446) | 78% (263/337) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.74 | 1.24 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.33 | 1.19 |
Total shots |
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27 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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10 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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12 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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15 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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12 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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4 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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29 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 6 |
Passes |
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83% (368/446) | 78% (263/337) |
Long passes |
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39% (20/51) | 46% (22/48) |
Passes in final third |
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68% (94/139) | 65% (72/111) |
Crosses |
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18% (3/17) | 17% (2/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.71 | 1.33 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 19 |
Fouls |
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6 | 9 |
Tackles |
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53% (8/15) | 80% (12/15) |
Duels won |
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55 | 44 |
Clearances |
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32 | 35 |
Interceptions |
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14 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 9 |
xGOT faced |
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1.19 | 3.33 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.19 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Alleyne M. (Own goal),
- 5', Brannagan C. 🟨,
- 30', Mills S. 🟨,
- 32', Semedo V. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
- 39', Keben K. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Ngakia J. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Ngakia J. ⚽,
- 45+5', Helik M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Kjerrumgaard L. 🟨,
- 54', Louza I. 🟨,
- 57', Mills S. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
- 57', Lankshear W. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 70', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
- 70', Wiley C. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
- 70', Louza I. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
- 73', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
- 85', Dembele S. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 85', Prelec N. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 87', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 90+2', Currie J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Watford 44.7% | Draw 29.5% | Oxford United 25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3%)
Watford - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (1.9) |
3.38 ↓ (3.45) |
3.73 ↓ (4.13) |
0.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Watford - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 32.6% – 78.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 21).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Watford is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G.
(Foot Injury)
Grieves J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Oxford United?
Watford has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Watford?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Oxford United were as follows:
15.03.2025
Oxford United
-
Watford
1:0
08.11.2024
Watford
-
Oxford United
1:0
Latest results of Watford
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One