Watford vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vicarage Road (Watford).

Championship - Round 9
Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.74	1.24
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
27	15
Shots on target
10	5
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Passes
83% (368/446)	78% (263/337)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
2.74	1.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.33	1.19
Total shots
27	15
Shots on target
10	5
Shots off target
12	6
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
15	7
Shots outside the Box
12	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
9	3
Touches in opposition box
29	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	6
Passes
83% (368/446)	78% (263/337)
Long passes
39% (20/51)	46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
68% (94/139)	65% (72/111)
Crosses
18% (3/17)	17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.71	1.33
Throw-ins
20	19
Fouls
6	9
Tackles
53% (8/15)	80% (12/15)
Duels won
55	44
Clearances
32	35
Interceptions
14	7
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	9
xGOT faced
1.19	3.33
Goals prevented
1.19	1.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Alleyne M. (Own goal),
5', Brannagan C. 🟨,
30', Mills S. 🟨,
32', Semedo V. ↓, Kjerrumgaard L. ↑,
39', Keben K. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Ngakia J. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 1, Ngakia J. ⚽,
45+5', Helik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Kjerrumgaard L. 🟨,
54', Louza I. 🟨,
57', Mills S. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
57', Lankshear W. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
70', Vata R. ↓, Kayembe E. ↑,
70', Wiley C. ↓, Petris J. ↑,
70', Louza I. ↓, Sissoko M. ↑,
73', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
85', Dembele S. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
85', Prelec N. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
87', Irankunda N. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
90+2', Currie J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Watford
44.7%

Draw
29.5%

Oxford United
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

27.4%

22.9%

Watford - Oxford United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.9)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	3.73 ↓ (4.13)	0.4% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Watford - Oxford United?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 32.6% – 78.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Oxford (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Oxford (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 21).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Watford is the team to beat.
There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Phillips M. (Thigh Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Oxford United?

Watford has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Watford?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Oxford United were as follows:

15.03.2025 Oxford United - Watford 1:0

08.11.2024 Watford - Oxford United 1:0

Latest results of Watford

01.10.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Watford - Hull City 2:1 ✺

22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Oxford United

01.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Oxford United - Sheffield United 0:1 ✺

21.09.2025 Bristol City - Oxford United 1:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Oxford United - Leicester City 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Oxford United - Coventry City 2:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One