Watford vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Watford - Oxford United
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Smith L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.741.24
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2715
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (368/446)78% (263/337)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.741.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.331.19
Total shots
2715
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
126
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
128
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2918
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
96
Passes
83% (368/446)78% (263/337)
Long passes
39% (20/51)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
68% (94/139)65% (72/111)
Crosses
18% (3/17)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.711.33
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
69
Tackles
53% (8/15)80% (12/15)
Duels won
5544
Clearances
3235
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
59
xGOT faced
1.193.33
Goals prevented
1.191.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Alleyne M. (Own goal),
  • 5', Brannagan C. 🟨,
  • 30', Mills S. 🟨,
  • 32', Semedo V. , Kjerrumgaard L. ,
  • 39', Keben K. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Ngakia J. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Ngakia J. ,
  • 45+5', Helik M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Kjerrumgaard L. 🟨,
  • 54', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 57', Mills S. , Placheta P. ,
  • 57', Lankshear W. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 70', Vata R. , Kayembe E. ,
  • 70', Wiley C. , Petris J. ,
  • 70', Louza I. , Sissoko M. ,
  • 73', Leigh G. , Currie J. ,
  • 85', Dembele S. , Harris M. ,
  • 85', Prelec N. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 87', Irankunda N. , Baah K. ,
  • 90+2', Currie J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Watford
44.7%
Draw
29.5%
Oxford United
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.4% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 27.4% 22.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Watford - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.9)
    3.38
    (3.45)
    3.73
    (4.13)
    0.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Watford - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Watford (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 21).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Watford is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Watford: Chakvetadze G. (Foot Injury) Grieves J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Knee Injury) Phillips M. (Thigh Injury) ter Haar Romeny O. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Dwomoh P. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Watford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Oxford United were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Oxford United - Watford 1:0
    08.11.2024 Watford - Oxford United 1:0
    Latest results of Watford
    01.10.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 2:2
    27.09.2025 Watford - Hull City 2:1
    22.09.2025 Millwall - Watford 1:0
    13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    30.08.2025 Watford - Southampton 2:2
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

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          Relegation ~ League One