Keilor Thunder vs Waverley Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:70
17/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South

Chances of winning


Keilor Thunder
35.5%
Waverley Falcons
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Keilor Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Waverley Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Thunder than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keilor Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waverley Falcons than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waverley Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.41)

    1.43
    (1.47)
    8.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Keilor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Waverley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Waverley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Waverley could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Keilor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 273:255. (average 91:85).
    • Including home match between the teams, Keilor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 107:101.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Keilor Thunder - Waverley Falcons 107:101
    28.05.2023 Waverley Falcons - Keilor Thunder 77:92
    Latest results of Keilor Thunder
    Latest results of Waverley Falcons
    Australian NBL1 South Table
    2026
    PlWLPCT
    1Dandenong220193:1621.000
    2Kilsyth220170:1401.000
    3Knox220206:1801.000
    4Bendigo Braves220172:1481.000
    5Hobart Chargers220174:1691.000
    6Nunawading321284:2230.667
    7Frankston211187:1760.500
    8Keilor Thunder211181:1730.500
    9Ballarat211191:1860.500
    10Melbourne Tigers211171:1690.500
    11Sandringham Sabres211167:1660.500
    12Waverley211157:1590.500
    13Eltham211156:1590.500
    14Mt Gambier211175:1930.500
    15Diamond Valley202163:1880.000
    16Geelong202131:1570.000
    17Casey Cavaliers202173:2050.000
    18Ringwood303250:2920.000
    19Northern Tasmania202148:2040.000

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