Carlisle United vs Wealdstone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
115
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Armstrong L. ,
  • 37', Williams J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Hayden A. ,
  • 70', Hutchinson D. , Hassan S. ,
  • 72', Whelan C. , Embleton E. ,
  • 80', Ellis J. , Kelly G. ,
  • 80', Obiero M. , Olomola O. ,
  • 81', Mussa O. , Turner S. ,
  • 87', Linney R. 🟨,
  • 90', Linney R. , Ajiboye D. ,

Chances of winning


Carlisle United
68.2%
Draw
19.3%
Wealdstone
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.7% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3% 20.9% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carlisle United's performance.
  • Wealdstone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carlisle United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wealdstone than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wealdstone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Carlisle United - Wealdstone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.52)
    4.86
    (4.09)
    7.36
    (5.71)
    7.8%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Carlisle United - Wealdstone?
  • Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Carlisle United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • Recent performances by Carlisle have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Wealdstone's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Carlisle is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carlisle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - Wealdstone were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Wealdstone - Carlisle United 0:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    Latest results of Wealdstone
    26.12.2025 Wealdstone - Boreham Wood 0:4
    21.12.2025 Halifax Town - Wealdstone 2:2
    16.12.2025 Truro City - Wealdstone 2:0
    13.12.2025 Wealdstone - Cheshunt 2:1
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale40305579:334695
    2York City402884105:396692
    3Carlisle40256976:482881
    4Boreham Wood40238982:532977
    5Scunthorpe402111873:571674
    6Forest Green4019111064:461868
    7Southend3817111062:372562
    8FC Halifax401881462:56662
    9Hartlepool3916121147:42560
    10Woking3814111357:471053
    11Tamworth401491753:66-1351
    12Boston Utd4012121654:63-948
    13Wealdstone391391752:63-1148
    14Altrincham391452047:58-1147
    15Yeovil391452043:55-1247
    16Sutton4011131655:66-1146
    17Solihull Moors3911121662:66-445
    18Aldershot391262164:75-1142
    19Eastleigh401192048:70-2242
    20Gateshead401172248:83-3540
    21Brackley Town409112037:64-2738
    22Braintree408112132:61-2935
    23Morecambe408102259:84-2534
    24Truro40782539:68-2929

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation