Result
3:1
24/01/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 14
- Referee: Keighley A-M. (Nzl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (173/283) | 75% (333/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (173/283) | 75% (333/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/77) | 27% (18/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 42% (33/78) | 63% (92/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 10% (2/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 38 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 95% (21/22) | 81% (17/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -2.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', Van der Meer M. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Woods M. ⚽, Leon L. (A),
- 18', 2 - 0, Nunn B. ⚽, Woods M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
- 55', Wall L. ↓, Elliott M. ↑,
- 58', Taranto A. ↓, Condon E. ↑,
- 58', Morgan S. ↓, Zois P. ↑,
- 58', Worts F. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
- 62', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
- 62', Dawber C. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
- 72', Healy E. ↓, Murray E. ↑,
- 78', Woods M. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 0, Nunn B. ⚽, Elliott M. (A),
- 87', 3 - 1, Hodgson I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
49.5% | Draw
24.5% | Adelaide United
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.79) |
3.77 ↓
(3.92) |
3.55 ↓
(3.87) |
8.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Wellington (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Wellington (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 2.
- Wellington is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Adelaide United is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Wellington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wellington might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United were as follows:
01.03.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
1:3
12.01.2025
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
22.11.2024
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:1
20.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Adelaide United
4:0
16.12.2023
Adelaide United
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Adelaide United
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27:10 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 23 |
| 5 | Brisbane Roar W | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 26:25 | 1 | 22 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Perth W | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
