Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Women Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United
Result
1:3
01/03/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 17
  • Referee: Rattray B. (Nzl)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.673.88
Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
731
Shots on Goal
314
Shots off Goal
212
Blocked Shots
25
Big Chances
05
Corner Kicks
213
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
510
Hit the Woodwork
03
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
112
Free Kicks
1210
Offsides
00
Fouls
1012
Yellow Cards
21
Throw-ins
3327
Touches in the Opposition Box
934
Passes
63% (220/348)66% (214/322)
Passes in the final third
54% (57/106)58% (60/104)
Crosses
25% (3/12)26% (6/23)
Tackles
76% (16/21)74% (14/19)
Clearances Total
2117
Interceptions
511

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Tonkin E. , Holmes D. (A),
  • 26', Kelly A. 🟨,
  • 41', 1 - 1, Fergusson O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Kelly A. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 49', Leon L. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 2, Leon L. , Healy E. (A),
  • 61', Holmes D. , Sasaki N. ,
  • 69', McMeeken Z. , Abbott A. ,
  • 70', Whinham A. , Elliott M. ,
  • 79', Jaber T. 🟨,
  • 80', Worts F. (Pen),
  • 82', Dawber C. , Kirkby L. ,
  • 85', Jaber T. , Tanaka M. ,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Leon L. ,
  • 87', Leon L. , Karambasis T. ,
  • 87', Healy E. , Panagaris C. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
47%
Draw
25.5%
Adelaide United
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 26.3% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 26.3% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
  • Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Phoenix that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.97
    (2.21)
    3.62
    (3.51)
    3.37
    (2.88)
    8.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 3.
    • Wellington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Adelaide United is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wellington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Wellington will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Wellington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    22.11.2024 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 0:1
    20.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United 4:0
    16.12.2023 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    28.03.2023 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 1:3
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2