Result
1:3
20/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.68 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (307/407) | 75% (309/412) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (307/407) | 75% (309/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 48% (28/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (48/85) | 60% (79/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 38% (8/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (17/22) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Tallon-Henniker C. ⚽,
- 12', 1 - 1, Vlok P. ⚽, Nunn B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Cassar A. ↓, Valletta C. ↑,
- 59', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
- 59', Woods M. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 2, Van der Meer M. ⚽, Elliott M. (A),
- 65', Tallon-Henniker C. ↓, Halmarick S. ↑,
- 68', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
- 71', Ulkekul J. ↓, Hollman S. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 3, Nunn B. ⚽, Vlok P. (A),
- 78', Elliott M. ↓, Jaber T. ↑,
- 84', Sullivan R. ↓, Fenton K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sydney FC
18.6% | Draw
21.6% | Wellington Phoenix
59.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney FC's form might have worsened.Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wellington Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney FC than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wellington Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.98 ↑
(3.44) |
4.3 ↑
(3.9) |
1.55 ↓
(1.83) |
7.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 3.
- Recent form of Sydney has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wellington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Wellington is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney FC won against Wellington Phoenix?
Sydney FC has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Sydney FC?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney FC - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
19.12.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney FC
7:0
15.03.2025
Sydney FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:1
20.12.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney FC
2:0
16.03.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Sydney FC
2:4
29.12.2023
Sydney FC
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
Latest results of Sydney FC
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34:19 | 15 | 37 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 31 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 29:22 | 7 | 30 |
| 4 | Adelaide W | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Brisbane Roar W | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 30:36 | -6 | 25 |
| 7 | Perth W | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 20 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17:34 | -17 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
