Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 24
- Referee: Bavcar A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 South-korea | SPOTV 2, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (346/425) | 85% (433/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 3.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 37 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (346/425) | 85% (433/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/55) | 59% (27/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (87/118) | 78% (109/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.58 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 54 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.23 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 1 - 0, Piper C. ⚽, Ishige H. (A),
- 36', 1 - 1, Kraev B. ⚽, Milanovic N. (A),
- 44', Geraldes F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Clisby J. ↓, Gersbach A. ↑,
- 62', Sapsford Z. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
- 67', Nagasawa K. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 68', Brooke-Smith L. ↓, Walker N. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Geraldes F. ⚽, Barbarouses K. (A),
- 75', Priestman O. ↓, Pelekanos D. ↑,
- 75', Brillante J. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 84', Borrello B. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 2, Milanovic N. ⚽, Borrello B. (A),
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
21.8% | Draw
22.4% | Western Sydney Wanderers
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.35 ↑
(3.68) |
4.21 ↑
(3.95) |
1.7 ↓
(1.88) |
5.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 38.8% – 86.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 1.
- Wellington has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Western Sydney is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recently Wellington have a series of guest games.
- In this match Western Sydney is a favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Western Sydney: Jeong Tae-Wook
(Ankle Injury)
Scicluna D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Hughes I.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:36 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:11 (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Wellington Phoenix has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Wellington Phoenix?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
22.12.2024
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Wellington Phoenix
4:1
22.12.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:0
22.10.2023
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:0
21.04.2023
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Wellington Phoenix
4:0
10.12.2022
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
1:1
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
