Wellington Phoenix vs Western Sydney Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/03/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 21
  • Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 6
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.630.50
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
62
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
42
Passes
72% (324/447)66% (248/378)
Expected goals (xG)
1.630.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.69
Total shots
188
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
104
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
114
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
269
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
812
Passes
72% (324/447)66% (248/378)
Long passes
37% (17/46)29% (25/87)
Passes in final third
56% (66/118)51% (50/99)
Crosses
43% (9/21)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.23
Throw ins
3735
Fouls
128
Tackles
79% (19/24)70% (16/23)
Duels won
5547
Clearances
2328
Interceptions
420
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.691.06
Goals prevented
-0.311.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Hooks P. , Cerne A. ,
  • 55', Elliott M. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 55', Anthony M. , Leon L. ,
  • 55', Pijnenburg E. , Fraser M. ,
  • 60', Collins A. , Yuan C. ,
  • 60', Ng-Saad A. , Barker A. ,
  • 77', Nunn B. , Benson Z. ,
  • 78', 0 - 1, Yuan C. ,
  • 86', Harrison A. , Fazzari N. ,
  • 88', Van der Meer M. , Jaber T. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
74.9%
Draw
15.7%
Western Sydney Wanderers
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 18.5% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 17.6% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
  • Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.38)
    5.88
    (5.03)
    9.78
    (6.7)
    8.4%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 5.
    • Recent performances by Wellington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • WS Wanderers is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • WS Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Wellington is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
    30.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix 0:3
    08.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:1
    09.01.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix 0:3
    29.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:0
    22.10.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Wellington Phoenix 0:3
    Australian A-League Women Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W20124436:201640
    2Wellington Phoenix W20104638:172134
    3Canberra W2094730:24631
    4Brisbane Roar W2094737:39-231
    5Adelaide W2093824:26-230
    6Melbourne Victory W2084827:24328
    7Central Coast Mariners W2077627:26128
    8Perth W20731020:30-1024
    9Newcastle W20721130:36-623
    10Sydney W2047918:29-1119
    11WS Wanderers W20541118:34-1619

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)