Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 25
- Referee: Abraham B. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/354) | 83% (378/453) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 2.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (283/354) | 83% (378/453) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (15/40) | 40% (17/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (73/105) | 77% (103/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 1.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.29 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Eze I. ⚽, Payne T. (A),
- 39', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Borrello B. ⚽, Thurgate A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 1, Nagasawa K. ⚽, Payne T. (A),
- 61', Rose J. ↓, Waraga A. ↑,
- 62', Payne T. ↓, Sheridan M. ↑,
- 62', Najjarine R. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 78', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
- 83', Piper C. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix
46% | Draw
24% | Western Sydney Wanderers
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.Western Sydney Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Western Sydney Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Phoenix that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Sydney Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.5) |
3.92 ↑
(3.81) |
3.18 ↑
(2.52) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Western Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wellington: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 1.
- Wellington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Western Sydney is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Wellington has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Wellington: Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Western Sydney: Farrell J.
(Inactive)
Simmons A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Wellington Phoenix has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Wellington Phoenix?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
13.02.2026
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Wellington Phoenix
2:2
29.03.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:2
22.12.2024
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Wellington Phoenix
4:1
22.12.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:0
22.10.2023
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
