Result
4:1
08/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 22
- Referee: Skinner S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Go |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
Singapore | StarHub TV+ |
South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 8 |
Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.43 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
21 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
9 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
8 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
Free Kicks |
---|
4 | 8 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 4 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 16 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
---|
39 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
84% (379/451) | 83% (415/502) |
Passes in the final third |
---|
76% (111/147) | 65% (58/89) |
Crosses |
---|
23% (3/13) | 33% (3/9) |
Tackles |
---|
67% (8/12) | 67% (16/24) |
Clearances Total |
---|
17 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Bozinovski R. ⚽,
- 9', Piper C. 🟨,
- 13', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 21', Leonard D. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Ibusuki H. ⚽,
- 35', Thurgate A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 0, Grimaldi M. ⚽,
- 57', Rojas M. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 62', 4 - 0, Grimaldi M. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
- 64', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 66', Rufer A. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 67', Piper C. ↓, Walker N. ↑,
- 67', Sheridan M. ↓, Nagasawa K. ↑,
- 67', Geraldes F. ↓, Ishige H. ↑,
- 72', Danzaki R. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 72', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 78', Grimaldi M. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 78', Botic N. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Walker N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Western United 64.9% | Draw 19.5% | Wellington Phoenix 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Western United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.71) |
4.83 ↑ (4.23) |
6.11 ↑ (4.17) |
5.7% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Western United - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
Western United will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 1.
- Recent matches Western United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Wellington is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Western United is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Conchie F.
(Injury)
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Western United won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12:28 (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Western United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Western United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
19.10.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western United
1:1
09.02.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western United
2:0
02.12.2023
Western United
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:1
17.02.2023
Western United
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:3
12.11.2022
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western United
2:3
Latest results of Western United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |