Western United vs Wellington Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Western United - Wellington Phoenix
Result
4:1
08/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 22
  • Referee: Skinner S. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
singaporeSingaporeStarHub TV+
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 8
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.63
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
2112
Shots on Goal
92
Shots off Goal
86
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
42
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
83
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
48
Offsides
02
Fouls
84
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2816
Touches in the Opposition Box
3914
Passes
84% (379/451)83% (415/502)
Passes in the final third
76% (111/147)65% (58/89)
Crosses
23% (3/13)33% (3/9)
Tackles
67% (8/12)67% (16/24)
Clearances Total
1726
Interceptions
610

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Bozinovski R. ,
  • 9', Piper C. 🟨,
  • 13', Rufer A. 🟨,
  • 21', Leonard D. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Ibusuki H. ,
  • 35', Thurgate A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 3 - 0, Grimaldi M. ,
  • 57', Rojas M. , Brooke-Smith L. ,
  • 62', 4 - 0, Grimaldi M. , Danzaki R. (A),
  • 64', Bozinovski R. , Lauton J. ,
  • 66', Rufer A. , Retre P. ,
  • 67', Piper C. , Walker N. ,
  • 67', Sheridan M. , Nagasawa K. ,
  • 67', Geraldes F. , Ishige H. ,
  • 72', Danzaki R. , Vickery L. ,
  • 72', Ibusuki H. , Ruhs M. ,
  • 78', Grimaldi M. , Najjarine R. ,
  • 78', Botic N. , Najdovski J. ,
  • 83', 4 - 1, Walker N. ,

Chances of winning


Western United
64.9%
Draw
19.5%
Wellington Phoenix
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.3% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 22.1% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.
  • Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Western United - Wellington Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.71)
    4.83
    (4.23)
    6.11
    (4.17)
    5.7%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Western United - Wellington Phoenix?
  • Users Predictions: Western United will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 1.
    • Recent matches Western United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Wellington is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Western United is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S. (Knee Injury) Conchie F. (Injury) Sloane-Rodrigues G. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Western United won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12:28 (average 0.8:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Western United 1:1
    09.02.2024 Wellington Phoenix - Western United 2:0
    02.12.2023 Western United - Wellington Phoenix 0:1
    17.02.2023 Western United - Wellington Phoenix 0:3
    12.11.2022 Wellington Phoenix - Western United 2:3
    Latest results of Western United
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Bye
    2Western United (3)Adelaide United (6)3 : 2
    3Auckland FC (1)Bye
    4WS Wanderers (4)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne City (2)Western United (3)1 : 1, 3 : 0
    2Auckland FC (1)Melbourne Victory (5)0 : 2, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Melbourne City (2)Melbourne Victory (5)1 : 0