Result
4:1
08/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AUSTRALIA: A-League - Round 22
- Referee: Skinner S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
 Singapore | StarHub TV+ |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 8 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (379/451) | 83% (415/502) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 76% (111/147) | 65% (58/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 33% (3/9) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 67% (16/24) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Bozinovski R. ⚽,
- 9', Piper C. 🟨,
- 13', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 21', Leonard D. 🟨,
- 33', 2 - 0, Ibusuki H. ⚽,
- 35', Thurgate A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 3 - 0, Grimaldi M. ⚽,
- 57', Rojas M. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 62', 4 - 0, Grimaldi M. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
- 64', Bozinovski R. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
- 66', Rufer A. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 67', Piper C. ↓, Walker N. ↑,
- 67', Sheridan M. ↓, Nagasawa K. ↑,
- 67', Geraldes F. ↓, Ishige H. ↑,
- 72', Danzaki R. ↓, Vickery L. ↑,
- 72', Ibusuki H. ↓, Ruhs M. ↑,
- 78', Grimaldi M. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 78', Botic N. ↓, Najdovski J. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Walker N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Western United
64.9% | Draw
19.5% | Wellington Phoenix
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wellington Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wellington Phoenix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Western United - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.71) |
4.83 ↑
(4.23) |
6.11 ↑
(4.17) |
5.7%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Western United - Wellington Phoenix?
Users Predictions:
Western United will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Western United won 1.
- Recent matches Western United is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Wellington is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Western United is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Conchie F.
(Injury)
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Western United: Donachie J.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Western United won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12:28 (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Wellington Phoenix?
Western United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Western United?
Wellington Phoenix has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
19.10.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western United
1:1
09.02.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western United
2:0
02.12.2023
Western United
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:1
17.02.2023
Western United
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:3
12.11.2022
Wellington Phoenix
-
Western United
2:3
Latest results of Western United
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Coast Mariners | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Adelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Perth Glory | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Wellington Phoenix | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | WS Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Melbourne Victory | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Auckland FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Sydney FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
