Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows
Result
98:109
11/07/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
1516
Behinds
813
Kicks
212233
Handballs
138111
Disposals
350344
Frees For
1725
Frees Against
2517
Clearances Completed
4235
Marks
89105
Tackles
5061
Hitouts
3343

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 26)
  • 01:58, Naughton A. (G),
  • 06:34, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 08:18, Curtin D. (G),
  • 09:46, Naughton A. (G),
  • 11:59, Naughton A. (G),
  • 13:28, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 16:07, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 17:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:09, Cumming I. (G),
  • 29:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
  • 00:47, Naughton A. (G),
  • 03:36, Dawson J. (G),
  • 04:44, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 06:53, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 08:55, Richards E. (G),
  • 10:07, Richards E. (G),
  • 13:53, Neil-Bullen A. (Behind),
  • 17:55, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 19:31, Walker T. (G),
  • 22:02, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 23:01, Hynes C. (G),
  • 27:18, Naughton A. (Behind),
  • 30:42, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 31:42, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 29)
  • 03:46, Dawson J. (G),
  • 05:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:59, Darcy S. (Behind),
  • 07:45, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 09:10, Darcy S. (G),
  • 10:45, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 12:22, Davidson S. (G),
  • 14:17, Naughton A. (G),
  • 17:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 20:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:05, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 24:50, Dolan J. (Behind),
  • 27:28, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 31:16, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 32:49, Rankine I. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 16)
  • 02:05, Sanders R. (G),
  • 03:40, Darcy S. (Behind),
  • 07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 10:45, Walker T. (G),
  • 16:22, Sanders R. (Behind),
  • 17:05, West R. (G),
  • 18:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 19:30, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 20:50, Bramble L. (G),
  • 24:37, Darcy S. (G),
  • 26:56, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 29:37, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 30:57, O'Donnell J. (G),

Chances of winning


Western Bulldogs
61.2%
Adelaide Crows
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.65)

    2.4
    (2.24)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Western might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1219:1149. (average 81.3:76.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1048:791. (average 104.8:79.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs 111:72
    20.05.2023 Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows 85:40
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2318052278:1635139.3372
    2Geelong Cats2317062425:1714141.4868
    3Collingwood Magpies2316071991:1627122.3764
    4Brisbane Lions2215161972:1725114.3262
    5Hawthorn Hawks2215071966:1602122.7260
    6GWS Giants2215072010:1741115.4560
    7Fremantle Dockers2215071866:1718108.6160
    8Western Bulldogs2214082396:1708140.2856
    9Gold Coast Suns2214082020:1682120.1056
    10Sydney Swans23120111845:190297.0048
    11Carlton Blues2390141799:186196.6736
    12St Kilda Saints2290131746:197388.4936
    13Port Adelaide Power2390141705:213679.8236
    14Melbourne Demons2370161902:203893.3328
    15Essendon Bombers2260161477:205671.8424
    16North Melbourne2351171805:236576.3222
    17Richmond Tigers2350181449:219765.9520
    18West Coast Eagles2310221466:243860.134

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )