Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows
Result
98:109
11/07/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : AFL - Round 18
Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1516
Behinds
813
Kicks
212233
Handballs
138111
Disposals
350344
Frees For
1725
Frees Against
2517
Clearances Completed
4235
Marks
89105
Tackles
5061
Hitouts
3343

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 26)
  • 01:58, Naughton A. (G),
  • 06:34, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 08:18, Curtin D. (G),
  • 09:46, Naughton A. (G),
  • 11:59, Naughton A. (G),
  • 13:28, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 16:07, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 17:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:09, Cumming I. (G),
  • 29:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
  • 00:47, Naughton A. (G),
  • 03:36, Dawson J. (G),
  • 04:44, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 06:53, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 08:55, Richards E. (G),
  • 10:07, Richards E. (G),
  • 13:53, Neil-Bullen A. (Behind),
  • 17:55, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 19:31, Walker T. (G),
  • 22:02, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 23:01, Hynes C. (G),
  • 27:18, Naughton A. (Behind),
  • 30:42, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 31:42, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 29)
  • 03:46, Dawson J. (G),
  • 05:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:59, Darcy S. (Behind),
  • 07:45, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 09:10, Darcy S. (G),
  • 10:45, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 12:22, Davidson S. (G),
  • 14:17, Naughton A. (G),
  • 17:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 20:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:05, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 24:50, Dolan J. (Behind),
  • 27:28, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 31:16, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 32:49, Rankine I. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 16)
  • 02:05, Sanders R. (G),
  • 03:40, Darcy S. (Behind),
  • 07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 10:45, Walker T. (G),
  • 16:22, Sanders R. (Behind),
  • 17:05, West R. (G),
  • 18:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 19:30, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 20:50, Bramble L. (G),
  • 24:37, Darcy S. (G),
  • 26:56, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 29:37, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 30:57, O'Donnell J. (G),

Chances of winning


Western Bulldogs
61.2%
Adelaide Crows
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.65)

    2.4
    (2.24)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Western might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1219:1149. (average 81.3:76.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1048:791. (average 104.8:79.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs 111:72
    20.05.2023 Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows 85:40
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1714031571:1154136.1456
    2Brisbane Lions1712141539:1318116.7750
    3Adelaide Crows1712051678:1233136.0948
    4Geelong Cats1611051601:1210132.3144
    5Gold Coast Suns1611051501:1232121.8344
    6Hawthorn Hawks1611051441:1212118.8944
    7Western Bulldogs1710071814:1397129.8540
    8GWS Giants1610061405:1255111.9540
    9Fremantle Dockers1610061354:1245108.7640
    10Sydney Swans167091265:135493.4328
    11Port Adelaide Power167091248:142587.5828
    12Carlton Blues1760111311:139993.7124
    13Essendon Bombers156091084:141976.3924
    14Melbourne Demons1650111253:144686.6520
    15St Kilda Saints1650111270:148285.7020
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers1630131015:161063.0412
    18West Coast Eagles1610151055:165063.944

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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    australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
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