Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows
Result
98:109
11/07/2025 at 23:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 9
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
1516
Behinds
813
Kicks
212233
Handballs
138111
Disposals
350344
Frees For
1725
Frees Against
2517
Clearances Completed
4235
Marks
89105
Tackles
5061
Hitouts
3343

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 26)
  • 01:58, Naughton A. (G),
  • 06:34, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 08:18, Curtin D. (G),
  • 09:46, Naughton A. (G),
  • 11:59, Naughton A. (G),
  • 13:28, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 16:07, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 17:28, (Behind Rushed),
  • 22:09, Cumming I. (G),
  • 29:54, (Behind Rushed),
  • 2nd Quarter (26 - 38)
  • 00:47, Naughton A. (G),
  • 03:36, Dawson J. (G),
  • 04:44, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 06:53, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 08:55, Richards E. (G),
  • 10:07, Richards E. (G),
  • 13:53, Neil-Bullen A. (Behind),
  • 17:55, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 19:31, Walker T. (G),
  • 22:02, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 23:01, Hynes C. (G),
  • 27:18, Naughton A. (Behind),
  • 30:42, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 31:42, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (21 - 29)
  • 03:46, Dawson J. (G),
  • 05:09, (Behind Rushed),
  • 05:59, Darcy S. (Behind),
  • 07:45, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 09:10, Darcy S. (G),
  • 10:45, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 12:22, Davidson S. (G),
  • 14:17, Naughton A. (G),
  • 17:56, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 20:03, (Behind Rushed),
  • 23:05, Dawson J. (Behind),
  • 24:50, Dolan J. (Behind),
  • 27:28, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 31:16, Curtin D. (Behind),
  • 32:49, Rankine I. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (32 - 16)
  • 02:05, Sanders R. (G),
  • 03:40, Darcy S. (Behind),
  • 07:20, Thiltorpe R. (G),
  • 10:45, Walker T. (G),
  • 16:22, Sanders R. (Behind),
  • 17:05, West R. (G),
  • 18:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 19:30, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 20:50, Bramble L. (G),
  • 24:37, Darcy S. (G),
  • 26:56, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 29:37, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 30:57, O'Donnell J. (G),

Chances of winning


Western Bulldogs
61.2%
Adelaide Crows
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Adelaide Crows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Western Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Crows than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Crows could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.65)

    2.4
    (2.24)
    6.5%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 182.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Western will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western won 3.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Western might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Western will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1219:1149. (average 81.3:76.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1048:791. (average 104.8:79.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows were as follows:
    11.08.2024 Adelaide Crows - Western Bulldogs 111:72
    20.05.2023 Western Bulldogs - Adelaide Crows 85:40
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Adelaide Crows2015052019:1401144.1160
    2Collingwood Magpies1915041742:1290135.0460
    3Brisbane Lions1913151689:1524110.8354
    4Geelong Cats1913061949:1452134.2352
    5Hawthorn Hawks2013071764:1500117.6052
    6Fremantle Dockers1913061636:1464111.7552
    7GWS Giants2013071766:1586111.3552
    8Western Bulldogs2012082165:1577137.2948
    9Gold Coast Suns1812061677:1403119.5348
    10Sydney Swans1990101499:159693.9236
    11Port Adelaide Power1980111419:170683.1832
    12Carlton Blues1970121450:155493.3128
    13Melbourne Demons1960131532:170389.9624
    14St Kilda Saints1960131535:177786.3824
    15Essendon Bombers1860121227:171271.6724
    16Richmond Tigers1950141223:179668.1020
    17North Melbourne1941141422:195472.7718
    18West Coast Eagles1910181249:196863.474

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )