Result
3:2
22/02/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport Select |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (230/296) | 90% (566/628) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (230/296) | 90% (566/628) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (13/53) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 76% (119/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Thurgate A. ⚽, Fraser R. (A),
- 35', Auglah A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, Auglah A. ⚽, Roux S. (A),
- 58', Donachie J. 🟨,
- 62', Taniguchi K. ↓, Blair N. ↑,
- 62', Steele H. ↓, Eames H. ↑,
- 65', Scicluna D. 🟨,
- 65', Borrello B. ↓, Kraev B. ↑,
- 65', Barbarouses K. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
- 66', Cancar P. ↓, Brillante J. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Ibusuki H. ⚽, Kraev B. (A),
- 73', Roux S. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
- 74', Auglah A. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 2, Blair N. ⚽, Mauragis L. (A),
- 81', Gersbach A. ↓, Tongyik R. ↑,
- 81', Di Pizio M. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 86', Brandtman B. 🟨,
- 86', Ugarkovic S. ↓, Waraga A. ↑,
- 88', Farrell J. 🟨,
- 89', 3 - 2, Donachie J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
22.3% | Draw
23.3% | Western Sydney Wanderers
54.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Western Sydney Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Sydney Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(3.48) |
4.03 ↑
(3.57) |
1.75 ↓
(1.95) |
5.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Central Coast (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Western Sydney Wanderers will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Central Coast (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Western Sydney (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Western Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Western Sydney has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Western Sydney is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Central Coast: Duarte N.
(Inactive)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Western Sydney: Barrie N.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Central Coast Mariners?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
22.11.2025
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Central Coast Mariners
3:2
22.02.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
0:4
17.01.2025
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Central Coast Mariners
1:3
18.02.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
1:0
06.01.2024
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:1
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
