Western United vs Adelaide United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
3:2
09/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: King A. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaParamount+
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV, SPOTV Now
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.68
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
94
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
76% (320/419)76% (352/464)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.611.68
xG on target (xGOT)
1.612.27
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
53
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
34
Free Kicks
616
Passes
76% (320/419)76% (352/464)
Long passes
35% (17/48)18% (11/60)
Passes in final third
63% (72/115)55% (65/118)
Crosses
12% (2/17)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.851.22
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
166
Tackles
40% (10/25)57% (12/21)
Duels won
5359
Clearances
3244
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
2.271.61
Goals prevented
0.57-0.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
  • 14', Donachie J. ↓, Russell T. ↑,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Vriends B. (Own goal),
  • 31', 2 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
  • 34', Leonard D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 62', 3 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
  • 63', Mauk S. 🟨,
  • 66', Grimaldi M. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
  • 66', Ruhs M. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
  • 70', Vriends B. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
  • 70', Lopez J. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
  • 73', Danzaki R. 🟨,
  • 77', Botic N. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
  • 77', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 2, Mauk S. ⚽, Pierias D. (A),
  • 79', Clough Z. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
  • 79', Alagich E. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
  • 86', Kikianis P. 🟨,
  • 88', Jovanovic L. ↓, Elsey J. ↑,
  • 89', Ibusuki H. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Najjarine R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Western United
47.2%		Draw
24.5%		Adelaide United
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.9% 22.4% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 22.1% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.
  • Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
    •

    Western United - Adelaide United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2 ↑
    (1.79)    		 3.9 ↓
    (4.24)    		 3.39 ↓
    (3.83)    		 5.1%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Western United - Adelaide United?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Adelaide will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 59.8% – 94.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Adelaide (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Western United (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western United will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Western United (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Adelaide (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western United won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Western United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Western United is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Western United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Western United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.9:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Adelaide United were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Western United - Adelaide United 3:0
    09.11.2024 Adelaide United - Western United 2:1
    16.04.2024 Western United - Adelaide United 3:3
    29.03.2024 Adelaide United - Western United 4:1
    26.11.2023 Western United - Adelaide United 1:3
    Latest results of Western United
    03.05.2025 Western United - Auckland FC 4:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Western United - Sydney 1:0 ✺
    17.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Western United 2:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United 2:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Western United - Perth Glory 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Adelaide United
    26.04.2025 Melbourne City - Adelaide United 0:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Brisbane Roar - Adelaide United 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Adelaide United - Wellington Phoenix 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Perth Glory - Adelaide United 4:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Adelaide United - Sydney 2:3 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Central Coast Mariners1975727:27026
    7Macarthur FC2067725:31-625
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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