Result
3:2
09/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/419) | 76% (352/464) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 2.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (320/419) | 76% (352/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 18% (11/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 55% (65/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (10/25) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.27 | 1.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Lopez J. (A),
- 14', Donachie J. ↓, Russell T. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 1, Vriends B. (Own goal),
- 31', 2 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
- 34', Leonard D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 62', 3 - 1, Botic N. ⚽, Danzaki R. (A),
- 63', Mauk S. 🟨,
- 66', Grimaldi M. ↓, Walatee A. ↑,
- 66', Ruhs M. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
- 70', Vriends B. ↓, Barnett J. ↑,
- 70', Lopez J. ↓, Dukuly Y. ↑,
- 73', Danzaki R. 🟨,
- 77', Botic N. ↓, Ibusuki H. ↑,
- 77', Danzaki R. ↓, Najjarine R. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Mauk S. ⚽, Pierias D. (A),
- 79', Clough Z. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
- 79', Alagich E. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
- 86', Kikianis P. 🟨,
- 88', Jovanovic L. ↓, Elsey J. ↑,
- 89', Ibusuki H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Najjarine R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Western United
47.2% | Draw
24.5% | Adelaide United
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Western United's form might have worsened.Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western United than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Western United - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.79) |
3.9 ↓
(4.24) |
3.39 ↓
(3.83) |
5.1%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Western United - Adelaide United?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Western United will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Adelaide will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western United: 59.8% – 94.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western United won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Western United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Western United is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Western United won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Western United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Western United won against Adelaide United?
Western United has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Western United?
Adelaide United has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western United - Adelaide United were as follows:
23.02.2025
Western United
-
Adelaide United
3:0
09.11.2024
Adelaide United
-
Western United
2:1
16.04.2024
Western United
-
Adelaide United
3:3
29.03.2024
Adelaide United
-
Western United
4:1
26.11.2023
Western United
-
Adelaide United
1:3
Latest results of Western United
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |
