Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Referee: King A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV Asia |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV, Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 Mongolia | SPOTV |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2 |
 Philippines | SPOTV |
 South-korea | SPOTV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | SPOTV |
 Ukraine | Maincast Sport |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 7 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (253/334) | 82% (362/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (253/334) | 82% (362/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 28% (14/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (54/103) | 67% (70/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 26% (6/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Younis M. ⚽, Shillington H. (A),
- 40', Souprayen S. ↓, Delbridge H. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 63', Durakovic E. ↓, Kutleshi B. ↑,
- 63', Schreiber Z. ↓, Leckie M. ↑,
- 63', Duzel L. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
- 63', Dukuly Y. ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
- 70', Caputo M. 🟨,
- 75', Caputo M. ↓, Memeti M. ↑,
- 75', Kuen A. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
- 78', Anselmo ↓, Goodwin C. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Jovanovic L. ⚽, Goodwin C. (A),
- 86', Kutleshi B. 🟨,
- 89', Delbridge H. 🟨,
- 89', Crawford H. ↓, Ayoubi A. ↑,
- 90+2', Barnett J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ferreyra G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Behich A. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Jovanovic L. ⚽, White R. (A),
- 90+10', Jovanovic L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
46% | Draw
25.1% | Adelaide United
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Melbourne City - Adelaide United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.9) |
3.74 ↓
(3.95) |
3.27 ↓
(3.67) |
5.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne City - Adelaide United?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Adelaide (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Melbourne City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 50%). Adelaide (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 1.
- Melbourne City has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Adelaide is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Melbourne City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne City: Kanamori T.
(Knee Injury)
Lopane A.
(Muscle Injury)
Teague R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Adelaide: Goodwin C.
(Groin Injury)
Najdovski J.
(Knee Injury)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Adelaide: Kitto R.
(Injury)
Riak A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Adelaide United?
Melbourne City has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Melbourne City?
Adelaide United has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Adelaide United were as follows:
21.11.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
4:1
26.04.2025
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
0:0
07.02.2025
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
1:0
25.01.2024
Melbourne City
-
Adelaide United
1:0
29.10.2023
Adelaide United
-
Melbourne City
6:0
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Adelaide United
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Melbourne Victory (4) | Sydney FC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Adelaide United (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Auckland FC (3) | Melbourne City (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Newcastle Jets (1) | Sydney FC (5) | |
| 2 | Adelaide United (2) | Auckland FC (3) | |
