Result
2:1
06/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 18
- Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (280/378) | 80% (319/397) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (280/378) | 80% (319/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (31/67) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (56/112) | 75% (74/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Bergier S. 🟨,
- 18', Kocaba F. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
- 45', Baena Perez A. 🟨,
- 45+5', 0 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Krajewski M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Radwanski A. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
- 46', Szmyt K. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 66', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 68', Kozlovsky S. 🟨,
- 74', Lucic L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 75', Bergier S. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
- 75', Kozlovsky S. ↓, Gallapeni D. ↑,
- 75', Pawlowski B. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
- 77', Lawniczak A. 🟨,
- 77', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
- 81', Czyz S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
- 85', Shehu J. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽, Makowski T. (A),
- 90+3', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hanousek Mar. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
38.5% | Draw
28.3% | Widzew Łódź
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.04) |
3.31 ↑
(3.09) |
2.86 ↓
(3.27) |
5.7%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Widzew will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Widzew may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Adamczyk H.
(Inactive)
Dabrowski D.
(Inactive)
Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Widzew: Therkildsen P.
(Inactive)
Visus R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Widzew: Selahi L.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Widzew Łódź?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Widzew Łódź has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź were as follows:
29.10.2025
Widzew Łódź
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
19.07.2025
Widzew Łódź
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:0
10.05.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Widzew Łódź
2:1
09.11.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Zagłębie Lubin
2:0
12.05.2024
Widzew Łódź
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:3
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Widzew Łódź
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
