Zagłębie Lubin vs Widzew Łódź – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 18
Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.09
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
74% (280/378)	80% (319/397)
Yellow Cards
2	6
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.46	1.69
Total shots
14	15
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
5	8
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
10	5
Shots outside the Box
4	10
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
29	17
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
17	6
Passes
74% (280/378)	80% (319/397)
Long passes
46% (31/67)	34% (17/50)
Passes in final third
50% (56/112)	75% (74/99)
Crosses
38% (9/24)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	1.03
Throw-ins
9	17
Fouls
6	17
Tackles
47% (8/17)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
68	47
Clearances
22	40
Interceptions
13	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.69	1.46
Goals prevented
0.69	-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Bergier S. 🟨,
18', Kocaba F. ↓, Kolan J. ↑,
45', Baena Perez A. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 1, Bergier S. ⚽, Krajewski M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Radwanski A. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
46', Szmyt K. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
66', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
68', Kozlovsky S. 🟨,
74', Lucic L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
75', Bergier S. ↓, Fornalczyk M. ↑,
75', Kozlovsky S. ↓, Gallapeni D. ↑,
75', Pawlowski B. ↓, Alvarez F. ↑,
77', Lawniczak A. 🟨,
77', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
81', Czyz S. ↓, Hanousek Mar. ↑,
85', Shehu J. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Rocha L. ⚽, Makowski T. (A),
90+3', Fornalczyk M. 🟨,
90+4', Orlikowski I. 🟨,
90+5', Hanousek Mar. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Diaz J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Zagłębie Lubin
38.5%

Draw
28.3%

Widzew Łódź
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

26%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Lubin's form might have worsened.

Widzew Łódź has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Widzew Łódź's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widzew Łódź than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.04)	3.31 ↑ (3.09)	2.86 ↓ (3.27)	5.7% (12%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Widzew will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zagłębie Lubin: 13.8% – 69.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Widzew may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Adamczyk H. (Inactive) Dabrowski D. (Inactive) Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Widzew: Therkildsen P. (Inactive) Visus R. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Widzew: Selahi L. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Widzew Łódź?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Widzew Łódź won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Widzew Łódź has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź were as follows:

29.10.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0

19.07.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0

10.05.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Widzew Łódź 2:1

09.11.2024 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 2:0

12.05.2024 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

30.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 5:1 ✺

07.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:0 ✺

03.11.2025 Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin 0:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Widzew Łódź

02.12.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź 0:1 ✺

28.11.2025 Piast Gliwice - Widzew Łódź 0:2 ✺

23.11.2025 Widzew Łódź - Korona Kielce 1:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Widzew Łódź 2:1 ✺

02.11.2025 Widzew Łódź - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	27	12	9	6	46:37	9	45
2	Jagiellonia	27	11	9	7	43:34	9	42
3	Gornik Zabrze	27	12	6	9	39:32	7	42
4	Zaglebie	27	11	8	8	41:33	8	41
5	Wisla Plock	27	10	9	8	28:26	2	39
6	Rakow	27	11	6	10	36:34	2	39
7	GKS Katowice	27	12	3	12	36:35	1	39
8	Motor Lublin	27	9	11	7	36:39	-3	38
9	Lechia Gdansk	27	12	6	9	55:50	5	37
10	Korona Kielce	27	10	6	11	35:33	2	36
11	Cracovia	27	9	9	9	31:31	0	36
12	Piast Gliwice	27	10	5	12	34:36	-2	35
13	Radomiak Radom	27	8	10	9	43:41	2	34
14	Pogon Szczecin	27	10	4	13	36:42	-6	34
15	Legia	27	7	12	8	32:31	1	33
16	Arka Gdynia	27	9	6	12	28:45	-17	33
17	Widzew Lodz	27	8	6	13	32:35	-3	30
18	Termalica B-B	27	6	7	14	33:50	-17	25

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1