Pogoń Szczecin vs Zagłębie Lubin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 16
Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	1.07
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
75% (270/360)	70% (231/332)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33	1.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.21	1.85
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
2	7
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
9	7
Shots outside the Box
4	9
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	4
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
20	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	13
Passes
75% (270/360)	70% (231/332)
Long passes
40% (21/53)	39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)	51% (50/98)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	1.09
Throw-ins
29	23
Fouls
13	9
Tackles
63% (5/8)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
47	47
Clearances
43	15
Interceptions
4	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	0
xGOT faced
1.85	2.21
Goals prevented
0.85	-2.79

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Keramitsis D. ⚽,
23', Loncar D. 🟨,
25', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Wahlqvist L. (A),
40', 3 - 0, Przyborek A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lucic L. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
46', Kocaba F. ↓, Dziewiatowski M. ↑,
46', Sypek J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Dziewiatowski M. ⚽, Szmyt K. (A),
54', Diaz J. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
72', Buric J. 🟨,
75', Greenwood S. (Pen),
75', 4 - 1, Molnar R. ⚽,
76', Przyborek A. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
77', Orlikowski I. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
84', Wahlqvist L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
84', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Greenwood S. ⚽, Loncar D. (A),
89', Loncar D. ↓, Huja M. ↑,
89', Ulvestad F. ↓, Wojciechowski M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
54.3%

Draw
24%

Zagłębie Lubin
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

25.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

26.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.85)	3.94 ↑ (3.71)	4.36 ↑ (4)	5.5% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 40%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Zagłębie Lubin (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Zagłębie Lubin (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 25%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is the team to beat.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Regula M. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Pogoń Szczecin: Greenwood S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:

01.02.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0

04.12.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 4:3

28.07.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2

10.03.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2

03.09.2023 Zagłębie Lubin - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

09.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺

03.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

30.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Cracovia 2:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

07.11.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Górnik Zabrze 2:0 ✺

03.11.2025 Cracovia - Zagłębie Lubin 0:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Widzew Łódź - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

24.10.2025 Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1 ✺

19.10.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Legia Warsaw 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	30	14	10	6	55:41	14	52
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
4	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
5	Wisla Plock	30	12	9	9	32:28	4	45
6	GKS Katowice	30	13	5	12	43:41	2	44
7	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	43:36	7	44
8	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
9	Motor Lublin	30	9	12	9	39:45	-6	39
10	Piast Gliwice	30	11	6	13	39:40	-1	39
11	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
12	Korona Kielce	30	10	8	12	37:36	1	38
13	Cracovia	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
14	Pogon Szczecin	30	11	5	14	40:45	-5	38
15	Legia	30	8	13	9	34:36	-2	37
16	Widzew Lodz	30	10	6	14	36:37	-1	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	30	7	7	16	36:55	-19	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1