Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/04/2023 at  14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 43
 
                                                - Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Stoke City  61.1% | Draw  23.9% | Wigan Athletic  15% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Stoke City - Wigan Athletic Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.56 ↓ (1.72) | 
			   4.01 ↑ (3.7) | 
			   6.33 ↑ (4.57) | 
			   4.9% (7.1%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Stoke City - Wigan Athletic?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Stoke City will win 
                    (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.69% – 94.31%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
 - Stoke has the most likely position - 14 (32.01%),  project points - 59,  currently - 52,  a very small chance of relegated (<1%),  a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%),  a very small chance of promoted (<1%),  not chance of win league.
 - Wigan has the most likely position - 24 (83.95%),  project points - 38,  currently - 34,  a very good chance of relegated (>99%),  not chance of prom. playoffs.
 - This event has quality 39, very small importance 3, small match rating 21. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Stoke won 3. 
 - Recent matches Stoke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - In this match Stoke is the unquestionable favorite.
 - There will not play in Stoke: Lowe N.
(Injury)
Pearson B.
(Red Card)
Tezgel E.
(Injury)
Tuanzebe A.
(Injury)
 - There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M.
(Knee Injury)
Kerr J.
(Knee Injury)
Sinani D.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Stoke: Clucas S.
(Injury)
 - Last 11 head-to-head matches Stoke won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-15. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Stoke won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Wigan Athletic?
                    
                    
                        
                            Stoke City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Wigan Athletic won against Stoke City?
                    
                    
                        
                             Wigan Athletic has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Wigan Athletic were as follows:
                                                        
                                02.11.2022 
                                Wigan Athletic 
                                - 
                                Stoke City 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Stoke City                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Wigan Athletic                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
English League Championship Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Coventry | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 36:12 | 24 | 28 | 
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 | 
| 3 | Stoke | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 24 | 
| 4 | Millwall | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 24 | 
| 5 | Bristol City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 22 | 
| 6 | Preston | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 22 | 
| 7 | Hull | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Charlton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 20 | 
| 9 | Ipswich | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 7 | 19 | 
| 10 | Watford | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 | 
| 11 | Birmingham | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 | 
| 12 | West Brom | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 18 | 
| 13 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 18 | 
| 14 | Leicester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 | 
| 15 | Wrexham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 | 
| 16 | Swansea | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | 
| 17 | Derby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 | 
| 18 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | 
| 19 | Blackburn | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:17 | -5 | 13 | 
| 20 | Portsmouth | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 13 | 
| 21 | Southampton | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 13:19 | -6 | 12 | 
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10:23 | -13 | 9 | 
| 23 | Norwich | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 | 
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -5 | 
      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One