Bristol City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 46
Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.89
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
5	2
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
2	15
Passes
81% (322/399)	87% (392/453)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.83	0.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.67	0.30
Total shots
13	16
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
7	5
Blocked shots
1	9
Shots inside the box
8	6
Shots outside the box
5	10
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
2	15
Touches in opposition box
18	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free kicks
13	7
Passes
81% (322/399)	87% (392/453)
Long passes
26% (12/47)	53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
63% (51/81)	75% (86/115)
Crosses
60% (6/10)	15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.41	0.83
Throw ins
14	17
Fouls
7	13
Tackles
65% (11/17)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
43	35
Clearances
25	7
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.30	1.67
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Burgzorg D. ⚽,
35', Pearson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pearson B. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
59', Cisse L. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
59', Bae J. ↓, Rak-Sakyi J. ↑,
60', Tchamadeu J. 🟨,
63', McCrorie R. 🟨,
71', Tchamadeu J. ↓, Agina S. ↑,
74', Morsy S. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
81', Horvat T. ↓, Bell S. ↑,
84', Burgzorg D. ↓, Riis E. ↑,
87', Manhoef M. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Bell S. ⚽, Dickie R. (A),
90+5', Rak-Sakyi J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol City
47.9%

Draw
25.3%

Stoke City
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.3%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

24.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Bristol City - Stoke City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)	3.72 ↑ (3.61)	3.51 ↑ (3.36)	6.1% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Stoke City?

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
Bristol City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Stoke is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Bristol City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Ankle Injury) Bird M. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Lawal B. (Injury) Rigo T. (Injury) Talovierov M. (Ankle Injury) Wilmot B. (Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Stoke: Cresswell A. (Injury) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Stoke City?

Bristol City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Bristol City?

Stoke City has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Stoke City were as follows:

01.11.2025 Stoke City - Bristol City 5:1

12.02.2025 Bristol City - Stoke City 2:0

22.10.2024 Stoke City - Bristol City 2:2

04.05.2024 Stoke City - Bristol City 4:0

30.09.2023 Bristol City - Stoke City 2:3

Latest results of Bristol City

25.04.2026 Birmingham City - Bristol City 2:1 ✺

21.04.2026 Southampton - Bristol City 2:2 ✺

18.04.2026 Bristol City - Norwich City 2:4 ✺

11.04.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

06.04.2026 Bristol City - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Stoke City

25.04.2026 Stoke City - Portsmouth 1:3 ✺

21.04.2026 Stoke City - Millwall 1:3 ✺

18.04.2026 Wrexham - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

11.04.2026 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:1 ✺

06.04.2026 Derby County - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One