Result
1:0
27/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (335/387) | 86% (335/390) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (335/387) | 86% (335/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 65% (30/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (108/138) | 74% (72/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 83% (15/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Aiko M. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Adewoye S. ↓, Rosier L. ↑,
- 51', Sandra C. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
- 61', Dijks M. ↓, Dahlhaus J. ↑,
- 62', Sierhuis K. ↓, Radulovic B. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Bullaude E. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
- 70', Bosch J. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 70', Bokila J. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 70', Nizet R. ↓, Sigurgeirsson R. ↑,
- 78', Peterson K. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
- 85', Schouten E. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
55% | Draw
25.4% | Willem II
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortuna Sittard's performance.Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Willem II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortuna Sittard that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Willem II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fortuna Sittard - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.97) |
3.75 ↑
(3.58) |
4.83 ↑
(3.63) |
4.6%
(6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Willem II will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 56.3% – 96.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 2.
- Fortuna Sittard is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Willem II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Fortuna Sittard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Fortuna Sittard is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Da Cruz A.
(Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Injury)
Michut E.
(Red Card)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Willem II: Lambert B.
(Inactive)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Tirpan M.
(Inactive)
van Loon P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Mitrovic J.
(Inactive)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18:18 (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:10 (average 2.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Willem II?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Fortuna Sittard?
Willem II has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Willem II were as follows:
20.10.2024
Willem II
-
Fortuna Sittard
0:0
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
