Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 32
- Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/417) | 81% (294/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (334/417) | 81% (294/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (32/60) | 58% (38/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (62/108) | 64% (70/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Mesik I. ⚽, Bruns T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Bokila J. ⚽, Kehrer E. (A),
- 64', Lachkar A. 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Hornkamp J. (Pen),
- 69', Hornkamp J. ↓, Engels M. ↑,
- 70', Benita M. 🟨,
- 73', Bokila J. ↓, Tirpan M. ↑,
- 73', Lachkar A. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
- 81', De Keersmaecker B. ↓, Zamburek J. ↑,
- 81', Bruns T. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 83', Kehrer E. ↓, Joosten P. ↑,
- 83', Schouten E. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Talvitie J. ↓, Wieckhoff J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Willem II
36.1% | Draw
27.7% | Heracles Almelo
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Willem II's form might have worsened.Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heracles Almelo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Willem II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heracles Almelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Willem II - Heracles Almelo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.04) |
3.42 ↓
(3.67) |
2.63 ↓
(3.35) |
5.2%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Willem II - Heracles Almelo?
Users Predictions:
47 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 17%). Heracles will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 59.5% – 85.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heracles Almelo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
- Willem II is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Heracles has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Sandra C.
(Injury)
Sigurgeirsson R.
(Injury)
Tirpan M.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S.
(Broken ankle)
Hoogma J.
(Inactive)
Laursen N.
(Knee Injury)
Scheperman S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Willem II: Bosch J.
(Injury)
Meerveld R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Heracles Almelo?
Willem II has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heracles Almelo won against Willem II?
Heracles Almelo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
25.08.2024
Heracles Almelo
-
Willem II
1:1
17.02.2023
Heracles Almelo
-
Willem II
1:1
04.11.2022
Willem II
-
Heracles Almelo
1:2
Latest results of Willem II
Latest results of Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Telstar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Zwolle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Twente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | G.A. Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Groningen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
