Willem II vs Heracles Almelo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie Willem II - Heracles Almelo
Result
1:2
09/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.23
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
80% (334/417)81% (294/362)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.23
xG on target (xGOT)
2.002.58
Total shots
916
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
616
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
2440
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
116
Passes
80% (334/417)81% (294/362)
Long passes
53% (32/60)58% (38/65)
Passes in final third
57% (62/108)64% (70/109)
Crosses
28% (5/18)33% (7/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.382.14
Throw-ins
2918
Fouls
611
Tackles
47% (9/19)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5664
Clearances
2840
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
2.582.00
Goals prevented
0.581.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Mesik I. , Bruns T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 1 - 1, Bokila J. , Kehrer E. (A),
  • 64', Lachkar A. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hornkamp J. (Pen),
  • 69', Hornkamp J. , Engels M. ,
  • 70', Benita M. 🟨,
  • 73', Bokila J. , Tirpan M. ,
  • 73', Lachkar A. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 81', De Keersmaecker B. , Zamburek J. ,
  • 81', Bruns T. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 83', Kehrer E. , Joosten P. ,
  • 83', Schouten E. , Sylla Y. ,
  • 90+2', Talvitie J. , Wieckhoff J. ,

Chances of winning


Willem II
36.1%
Draw
27.7%
Heracles Almelo
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 25.7% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 25.8% 28%

Willem II - Heracles Almelo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.63
(2.04)
3.42
(3.67)
2.63
(3.35)
5.2%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Willem II - Heracles Almelo?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 8 - 17%). Heracles will win (votes: 34 - 72.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 10.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 59.5%85.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heracles Almelo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 1.
    • Willem II is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Heracles has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Heracles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Sandra C. (Injury) Sigurgeirsson R. (Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Heracles: Cestic S. (Broken ankle) Hoogma J. (Inactive) Laursen N. (Knee Injury) Scheperman S. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Bosch J. (Injury) Meerveld R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - Heracles Almelo were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Heracles Almelo - Willem II 1:1
    17.02.2023 Heracles Almelo - Willem II 1:1
    04.11.2022 Willem II - Heracles Almelo 1:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Latest results of Heracles Almelo
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord1191130:102028
    2PSV1191135:161928
    3AZ Alkmaar1173124:131124
    4Ajax1155121:15620
    5Groningen1161417:15219
    6Utrecht1151520:15516
    7Twente1244420:18216
    8Sittard1251618:20-216
    9Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    10Nijmegen1143427:20715
    11Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    12G.A. Eagles1134417:17013
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

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