Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (355/453) | 80% (388/483) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (355/453) | 80% (388/483) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 47% (42/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (86/142) | 66% (71/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
- 37', Sano K. 🟨,
- 41', Proper D. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hansen S. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
- 46', Ogawa K. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
- 64', Meerveld R. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
- 65', Larsen L. O. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 76', Bosch J. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
- 83', Kehrer E. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
- 84', Nizet R. 🟨,
- 84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
61.2% | Draw
22.3% | Willem II
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.71) |
4.25 ↑
(3.89) |
5.79 ↑
(4.58) |
5.2%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
NEC Nijmegen will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
- Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B.
(Inactive)
Nuytinck B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Tirpan M.
(Illness)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Willem II?
NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against NEC Nijmegen?
Willem II has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Willem II were as follows:
22.12.2024
Willem II
-
NEC Nijmegen
4:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 | Groningen | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Volendam | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Telstar | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 18 | Heracles | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
