NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.49
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
175
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Long passes
44% (31/70)47% (42/90)
Passes in final third
61% (86/142)66% (71/107)
Crosses
45% (14/31)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.51
Throw-ins
268
Fouls
159
Tackles
64% (7/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4367
Clearances
1326
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.492.58
Goals prevented
0.491.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
  • 37', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 41', Proper D. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hansen S. , Linssen B. ,
  • 46', Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. ,
  • 64', Meerveld R. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 65', Larsen L. O. , Onal B. ,
  • 76', Bosch J. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 83', Kehrer E. , Doodeman N. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 84', Nizet R. 🟨,
  • 84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
61.2%
Draw
22.3%
Willem II
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 24.2% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.2% 19.7%

NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.71)
4.25
(3.89)
5.79
(4.58)
5.2%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
    • Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Willem II were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Willem II - NEC Nijmegen 4:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie