NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Goffertstadion (Nijmegen).

Eredivisie - Round 31
Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.83	0.56
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
78% (355/453)	80% (388/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.83	0.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.58	0.49
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
17	5
Blocked Shots
0	2
Shots inside the Box
15	5
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
21	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
9	15
Passes
78% (355/453)	80% (388/483)
Long passes
44% (31/70)	47% (42/90)
Passes in final third
61% (86/142)	66% (71/107)
Crosses
45% (14/31)	14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.35	0.51
Throw-ins
26	8
Fouls
15	9
Tackles
64% (7/11)	53% (8/15)
Duels won
43	67
Clearances
13	26
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.49	2.58
Goals prevented
0.49	1.58

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
37', Sano K. 🟨,
41', Proper D. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hansen S. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Ouaissa S. ↑,
64', Meerveld R. ↓, Ahmed Fatah A. ↑,
65', Larsen L. O. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
76', Bosch J. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
83', Kehrer E. ↓, Doodeman N. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
84', Nizet R. 🟨,
84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

NEC Nijmegen
61.2%

Draw
22.3%

Willem II
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

23.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	4.25 ↑ (3.89)	5.79 ↑ (4.58)	5.2% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Willem II (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Nijmegen (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Injury)
There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Willem II?

NEC Nijmegen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against NEC Nijmegen?

Willem II has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Willem II were as follows:

22.12.2024 Willem II - NEC Nijmegen 4:1

Latest results of NEC Nijmegen

27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺

11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Willem II

27.04.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Willem II 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2 ✺

04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II 1:0 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	24	20	2	2	70:29	41	62
2	Feyenoord	24	15	3	6	55:33	22	48
3	Nijmegen	24	12	7	5	59:40	19	43
4	Ajax	24	11	10	3	47:31	16	43
5	AZ Alkmaar	24	11	6	7	42:38	4	39
6	Twente	24	9	11	4	39:26	13	38
7	Sparta Rotterdam	24	11	4	9	31:40	-9	37
8	Utrecht	24	8	7	9	36:31	5	31
9	Groningen	24	9	4	11	31:32	-1	31
10	Heerenveen	24	8	7	9	40:42	-2	31
11	Sittard	24	8	5	11	36:43	-7	29
12	Zwolle	24	7	6	11	34:50	-16	27
13	G.A. Eagles	24	5	11	8	37:39	-2	26
14	Excelsior	24	7	5	12	26:41	-15	26
15	FC Volendam	24	6	6	12	26:39	-13	24
16	NAC Breda	24	5	7	12	25:36	-11	22
17	Telstar	24	3	9	12	28:41	-13	18
18	Heracles	24	5	2	17	31:62	-31	17

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      Eredivisie (Relegation)
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