NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie NEC Nijmegen - Willem II
Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.49
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
175
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Long passes
44% (31/70)47% (42/90)
Passes in final third
61% (86/142)66% (71/107)
Crosses
45% (14/31)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.51
Throw-ins
268
Fouls
159
Tackles
64% (7/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4367
Clearances
1326
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.492.58
Goals prevented
0.491.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
  • 37', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 41', Proper D. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hansen S. , Linssen B. ,
  • 46', Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. ,
  • 64', Meerveld R. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 65', Larsen L. O. , Onal B. ,
  • 76', Bosch J. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 83', Kehrer E. , Doodeman N. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 84', Nizet R. 🟨,
  • 84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
61.2%
Draw
22.3%
Willem II
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 24.2% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.2% 19.7%

NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.71)
4.25
(3.89)
5.79
(4.58)
5.2%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?
  • Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
    • Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Willem II were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Willem II - NEC Nijmegen 4:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Feyenoord1191130:102028
    2PSV1191135:161928
    3AZ Alkmaar1173124:131124
    4Ajax1155121:15620
    5Groningen1161417:15219
    6Utrecht1151520:15516
    7Twente1244420:18216
    8Sittard1251618:20-216
    9Sparta Rotterdam1251614:24-1016
    10Nijmegen1143427:20715
    11Heerenveen1235419:21-214
    12G.A. Eagles1134417:17013
    13FC Volendam1234516:20-413
    14NAC Breda1233615:21-612
    15Zwolle1233614:27-1312
    16Excelsior1231811:23-1210
    17Telstar1223714:21-79
    18Heracles1230917:33-169

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie