NEC Nijmegen vs Willem II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 31
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.830.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.580.49
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
175
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
915
Passes
78% (355/453)80% (388/483)
Long passes
44% (31/70)47% (42/90)
Passes in final third
61% (86/142)66% (71/107)
Crosses
45% (14/31)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.350.51
Throw-ins
268
Fouls
159
Tackles
64% (7/11)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4367
Clearances
1326
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.492.58
Goals prevented
0.491.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Verdonk C. (Own goal),
  • 37', Sano K. 🟨,
  • 41', Proper D. , Shiogai K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hansen S. , Linssen B. ,
  • 46', Ogawa K. , Ouaissa S. ,
  • 64', Meerveld R. , Ahmed Fatah A. ,
  • 65', Larsen L. O. , Onal B. ,
  • 76', Bosch J. , Kaygin D. ,
  • 83', Kehrer E. , Doodeman N. ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Shiogai K. , Ouwejan T. (A),
  • 84', Nizet R. 🟨,
  • 84', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Lachkar A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
61.2%
Draw
22.3%
Willem II
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 24.2% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6% 23.2% 19.7%

NEC Nijmegen - Willem II Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.55
(1.71)
4.25
(3.89)
5.79
(4.58)
5.2%
(6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Willem II?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DC - Willem II (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Nijmegen (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: NEC Nijmegen will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Willem II (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2.
    • Recent performances by Nijmegen have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Willem II has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nijmegen is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Linssen B. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Willem II: Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) Tirpan M. (Illness)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Willem II were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Willem II - NEC Nijmegen 4:1
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1
    29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3
    15.03.2025 Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen 0:1
    Latest results of Willem II
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2
    04.04.2025 Heerenveen - Willem II 3:1
    29.03.2025 Willem II - Almere City 0:2
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie