Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 OT
17/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNHL Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3037
Shots off target
228
Shooting PCT
10% (3/30)10.81% (4/37)
Blocked shots
1211
Goalkeeper Saves
3327
Saves PCT
89.19% (33/37)90% (27/30)
Penalties
23
PIM
46
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (3/3)
Hits
1721
Faceoffs Won
1930
Faceoffs %
38.7861.22
Giveaways
1323
Takeaways
25
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:22, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 02:23, 1 - 0, Iafallo A. (G), Stanley L. (A), Namestnikov V. (A2)
  • 06:53, Robertson N. (2 min),
  • 08:59, 2 - 0, Connor K. (G), Vilardi G. (A),
  • 09:22, 2 - 1, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 09:55, Toews J. (2 min),
  • 14:52, Iafallo A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:28, 3 - 1, Niederreiter N. (G), Namestnikov V. (A), Schenn L. (A2)
  • 05:58, 3 - 2, Ekman-Larsson O. (G), Robertson N. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
  • 15:27, 3 - 3, McMann B. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Rielly M. (A2)
  • 16:47, Knies M. (2 min),
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 03:08, 3 - 4, Domi M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Winnipeg Jets
44.3%
Draw
22.6%
Toronto Maple Leafs
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 23% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 23.7% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winnipeg Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winnipeg Jets's performance.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winnipeg Jets than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winnipeg Jets that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Maple Leafs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.78)
    4.24
    (4.21)
    2.88
    (2.3)
    5.3%
    (3.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Winnipeg will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Winnipeg: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Winnipeg (votes: 3 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 1.
    • Winnipeg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Winnipeg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Winnipeg has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Winnipeg: Fleury H. (Upper-Body Injury) Miller C. (Lower-Body Injury) Pionk N. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Benoit S. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winnipeg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 59:70. (average 3:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Winnipeg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.6:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets 6:5
    23.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets 2:5
    28.10.2024 Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:6
    27.01.2024 Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:4
    24.01.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets 1:0
    Latest results of Winnipeg Jets
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