Result
1:0
17/08/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/330) | 89% (538/607) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (248/330) | 89% (538/607) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (28/66) | 59% (30/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (45/78) | 79% (196/247) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 20% (11/54) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 57 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Kaminski M. ⚽, Jimenez J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Morishita R. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
- 61', Stojanovic P. ↓, Nsame J. ↑,
- 61', Reca A. ↓, Vinagre R. ↑,
- 68', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Nastic B. ↑,
- 72', Rajovic M. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 74', Pacheco D. ↓, Mijuskovic N. ↑,
- 74', Jimenez J. ↓, Djalo M. ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 78', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
- 85', Sekulski L. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 85', Custovic K. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
- 87', Kapustka B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock
32.6% | Draw
28% | Legia Warsaw
39.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wisła Płock that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legia Warsaw could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.3) |
3.46 ↑
(3.3) |
2.49 ↑
(2.15) |
2.8%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Legia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wisła Płock: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Legia has had a series of home games.
- Legia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Wisła Płock: Wieckowski M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Legia: Goncalves C.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Legia Warsaw?
Wisła Płock has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Wisła Płock?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Legia Warsaw were as follows:
21.06.2025
Legia Warsaw
-
Wisła Płock
2:3
18.10.2022
Wisła Płock
-
Legia Warsaw
0:3
14.10.2022
Wisła Płock
-
Legia Warsaw
2:1
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla Plock | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Gornik Zabrze | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Jagiellonia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:9 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Termalica B-B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Motor Lublin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Legia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Zaglebie | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 6 |
| 16 | Rakow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
