Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Sadikovski A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/399) | 77% (330/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (311/399) | 77% (330/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (48/87) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (65/116) | 57% (52/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.80 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Pink M. ⚽, Schopf A. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Maderner D. ⚽, Hofleitner A. (A),
- 45+2', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pink M. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
- 59', Maderner D. ↓, Cipot T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Schopf A. ⚽,
- 64', Piesinger S. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
- 68', Schopf A. 🟨,
- 75', Gattermayer A. ↓, Ogam R. ↑,
- 75', Zukic D. ↓, Avdijaj D. ↑,
- 75', Hofleitner A. ↓, Prenqi A. ↑,
- 76', Fofana S. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
- 77', Frieser D. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 80', Nwaiwu C. 🟨,
- 85', Polster N. 🟨,
- 87', Cipot T. 🟨,
- 87', Renner R. 🟨,
- 88', Matic B. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,
- 89', Vraa-Jensen L. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Avdijaj D. ⚽, Schopf A. (A),
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
23.7% | Draw
28.9% | Wolfsberger
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grazer AK - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.03 ↓
(4.12) |
3.28 ↓
(3.64) |
2.03 ↑
(1.87) |
4.6%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Wolfsberger?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsberger: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- Recent performances by Grazer have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wolfsberger is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Wolfsberger is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Skubl D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grazer: Schriebl T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Atanga D.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Wolfsberger?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Grazer AK?
Wolfsberger has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Wolfsberger were as follows:
30.11.2024
Grazer AK
-
Wolfsberger
3:4
25.08.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
4:2
19.01.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
1:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 6 | Altach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Ried | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | BW Linz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Tirol | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | LASK | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Grazer AK | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
