Result
1:3
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 9
- Referee: Sadikovski A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 1.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
78% (311/399) | 77% (330/427) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.63 | 1.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.47 | 1.20 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 16 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
78% (311/399) | 77% (330/427) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (48/87) | 39% (22/56) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (65/116) | 57% (52/92) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 50% (4/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.81 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 60% (12/20) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.20 | 0.47 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.80 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Pink M. ⚽, Schopf A. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Maderner D. ⚽, Hofleitner A. (A),
- 45+2', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pink M. ↓, Kojzek E. ↑,
- 59', Maderner D. ↓, Cipot T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Schopf A. ⚽,
- 64', Piesinger S. ↓, Chukwu E. ↑,
- 68', Schopf A. 🟨,
- 75', Gattermayer A. ↓, Ogam R. ↑,
- 75', Zukic D. ↓, Avdijaj D. ↑,
- 75', Hofleitner A. ↓, Prenqi A. ↑,
- 76', Fofana S. ↓, Jano Z. ↑,
- 77', Frieser D. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
- 80', Nwaiwu C. 🟨,
- 85', Polster N. 🟨,
- 87', Cipot T. 🟨,
- 87', Renner R. 🟨,
- 88', Matic B. ↓, Wohlmuth F. ↑,
- 89', Vraa-Jensen L. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Avdijaj D. ⚽, Schopf A. (A),
Chances of winning
Grazer AK 23.7% | Draw 28.9% | Wolfsberger 47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grazer AK - Wolfsberger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.03 ↓ (4.12) |
3.28 ↓ (3.64) |
2.03 ↑ (1.87) |
4.6% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Wolfsberger?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Wolfsberger will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsberger: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )).
- Recent performances by Grazer have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wolfsberger is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Wolfsberger is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Wolfsberger: Skubl D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grazer: Schriebl T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wolfsberger: Atanga D.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.8:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Grazer won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Wolfsberger?
Grazer AK has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsberger won against Grazer AK?
Wolfsberger has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Wolfsberger were as follows:
30.11.2024
Grazer AK
-
Wolfsberger
3:4
25.08.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
4:2
19.01.2024
Wolfsberger
-
Grazer AK
1:0
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Wolfsberger
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
3 | SK Rapid | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Salzburg | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 17 |
5 | Austria Vienna | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
6 | Altach | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
7 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Ried | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
9 | BW Linz | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
10 | Tirol | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 |
11 | LASK | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
12 | Grazer AK | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )