Wolfsburg vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:4
20/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaSINDOnews TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (389/477)80% (294/369)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.013.95
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
816
Passes
82% (389/477)80% (294/369)
Long passes
42% (23/55)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
64% (66/103)64% (57/89)
Crosses
35% (6/17)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.23
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
168
Tackles
47% (8/17)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.952.01
Goals prevented
0.95-0.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Treu P. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Wimmer P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Osterhage P. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽,
  • 56', 2 - 2, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', Treu P. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 67', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Wimmer P. (A),
  • 71', 3 - 3, Seelt J. (Own goal),
  • 78', 3 - 4, Scherhant D. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
  • 79', Holer L. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
  • 79', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
  • 80', Eriksen C. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
  • 80', Wimmer P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
  • 82', Arnold M. 🟨,
  • 84', Jung A. 🟨,
  • 88', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
37.6%		Draw
27.2%		Freiburg
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 25.8% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 26.3% 38%

Wolfsburg - Freiburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.53 ↓
(2.68)		 3.51 ↓
(3.69)		 2.73 ↑
(2.45)		 4.6%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 18% – 53.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Freiburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Wolfsburg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Wolfsburg (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Freiburg (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Freiburg (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Freiburg (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Freiburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (International duty) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Skov Olsen A. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Beste J. (Illness) Irie C. (International duty) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Freiburg were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:2
    09.12.2023 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    22.07.2023 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 2:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    13.12.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    07.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    14.12.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    11.12.2025 Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich21173179:196054
    2Dortmund21146143:202348
    3Hoffenheim21133544:281642
    4RB Leipzig21123640:281239
    5Stuttgart21123638:281039
    6Bayer Leverkusen20113639:271236
    7Freiburg2186732:33-130
    8Eintracht Frankfurt2177741:46-528
    9Union Berlin2167826:34-825
    10FC Koln21651030:34-423
    11Hamburger SV2057821:29-822
    12B. Monchengladbach2157925:34-922
    13Augsburg21641124:39-1522
    14Mainz21561025:33-821
    15Wolfsburg21541229:44-1519
    16Werder Bremen21471022:39-1719
    17St. Pauli21451220:35-1517
    18Heidenheim21341419:47-2813

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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