Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 31
- Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, New World TV |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 2 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | RCTI+ |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.39 | 1.72 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
75% (256/340) | 87% (394/452) |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.39 | 1.72 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.05 | 1.35 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 28 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 6 |
Passes |
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75% (256/340) | 87% (394/452) |
Long passes |
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48% (34/71) | 42% (18/43) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (89/140) | 83% (130/157) |
Crosses |
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10% (2/20) | 14% (4/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.83 | 1.10 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
6 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 51 |
Clearances |
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30 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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1.35 | 0.05 |
Goals prevented |
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0.35 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
- 26', Arnold M. 🟥,
- 40', Amoura M. 🟨,
- 41', Hasenhuttl R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Adamu J. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Rosenfelder M. ⚽,
- 58', Amoura M. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
- 60', Paredes K. 🟨,
- 62', Paredes K. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
- 71', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
- 71', Holer L. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
- 71', Grifo V. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 78', Wimmer P. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
- 78', Wind J. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
- 78', Dardai B. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
- 83', Osterhage P. 🟨,
- 87', Doan R. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wolfsburg 39% | Draw 26.7% | Freiburg 34.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Wolfsburg - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↑ (2.26) |
3.6 ↓ (3.68) |
2.81 ↓ (3.09) |
4% (3.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Freiburg will win (votes: 24 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 60% – 90%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 2.
- Wolfsburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Freiburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M.
(Muscle Injury)
Bornauw S.
(Foot Injury)
Muller M.
(Concussion)
Roerslev Rasmussen M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rogerio
(Knee Injury)
Svanberg M.
(Knee Injury)
Vranckx A.
(Personal Reasons)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Atubolu N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Skov Olsen A.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E.
(Injury)
Gulde M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:26 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:10 (average 1.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wolfsburg won against Freiburg?
Wolfsburg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Wolfsburg?
Freiburg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Freiburg were as follows:
13.12.2024
Freiburg
-
Wolfsburg
3:2
27.04.2024
Freiburg
-
Wolfsburg
1:2
09.12.2023
Wolfsburg
-
Freiburg
0:1
22.07.2023
Freiburg
-
Wolfsburg
2:3
19.05.2023
Freiburg
-
Wolfsburg
2:0
Latest results of Wolfsburg
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga