Wolfsburg vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:4
20/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaSINDOnews TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.64
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
82% (389/477)80% (294/369)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.743.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.013.95
Total shots
1315
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2328
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
816
Passes
82% (389/477)80% (294/369)
Long passes
42% (23/55)43% (26/61)
Passes in final third
64% (66/103)64% (57/89)
Crosses
35% (6/17)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.741.23
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
168
Tackles
47% (8/17)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
1831
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.952.01
Goals prevented
0.95-0.99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Treu P. ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Wimmer P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', Osterhage P. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Pejcinovic D. ⚽,
  • 56', 2 - 2, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 67', Treu P. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
  • 67', Majer L. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
  • 69', 3 - 2, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Wimmer P. (A),
  • 71', 3 - 3, Seelt J. (Own goal),
  • 78', 3 - 4, Scherhant D. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
  • 79', Holer L. ↓, Adamu J. ↑,
  • 79', Manzambi J. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
  • 80', Eriksen C. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
  • 80', Wimmer P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
  • 82', Arnold M. 🟨,
  • 84', Jung A. 🟨,
  • 88', Kumbedi S. ↓, Burger J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
37.6%		Draw
27.2%		Freiburg
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 25.8% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 26.3% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.53 ↓
    (2.68)    		 3.51 ↓
    (3.69)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.45)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). Freiburg will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 32.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Wolfsburg: 18% – 53.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Freiburg (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Wolfsburg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Wolfsburg (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Freiburg (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Freiburg (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Freiburg (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Freiburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Wolfsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Freiburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Amoura M. (International duty) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Paredes K. (Foot Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Skov Olsen A. (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Beste J. (Illness) Irie C. (International duty) Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Lienhart P. (Muscle Injury) Rosenfelder M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Daghim A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 34:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Freiburg were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:2
    09.12.2023 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    22.07.2023 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 2:3
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    13.12.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg 1:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Wolfsburg - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Wolfsburg 1:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    07.11.2025 Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    14.12.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    11.12.2025 Freiburg - Red Bull Salzburg 1:0 ✺
    06.12.2025 Heidenheim - Freiburg 2:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 4:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy