Wolfsburg vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Wolfsburg - Freiburg
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 2
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 8
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.72
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
75% (256/340)87% (394/452)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.051.35
Total shots
815
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
39
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1528
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
96
Passes
75% (256/340)87% (394/452)
Long passes
48% (34/71)42% (18/43)
Passes in final third
64% (89/140)83% (130/157)
Crosses
10% (2/20)14% (4/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.831.10
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
69
Tackles
56% (9/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
3034
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.350.05
Goals prevented
0.350.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Koulierakis K. 🟨,
  • 26', Arnold M. 🟥,
  • 40', Amoura M. 🟨,
  • 41', Hasenhuttl R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Adamu J. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Rosenfelder M. ⚽,
  • 58', Amoura M. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
  • 60', Paredes K. 🟨,
  • 62', Paredes K. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
  • 71', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Kubler L. ↑,
  • 71', Holer L. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
  • 71', Grifo V. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
  • 78', Wimmer P. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
  • 78', Wind J. ↓, Tomas T. ↑,
  • 78', Dardai B. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
  • 83', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 87', Doan R. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Wolfsburg
39%		Draw
26.7%		Freiburg
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 26.2% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 26.3% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    Wolfsburg - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.46 ↑
    (2.26)    		 3.6 ↓
    (3.68)    		 2.81 ↓
    (3.09)    		 4%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Wolfsburg - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Freiburg will win (votes: 24 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 60% – 90%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Freiburg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 2.
    • Wolfsburg has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Freiburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Freiburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Wolfsburg: Angely M. (Muscle Injury) Bornauw S. (Foot Injury) Muller M. (Concussion) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Hamstring Injury) Rogerio (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Knee Injury) Vranckx A. (Personal Reasons)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Atubolu N. (Shoulder Injury) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Skov Olsen A. (Hip Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Dinkci E. (Injury) Gulde M. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Wolfsburg won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:26 (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19:10 (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wolfsburg - Freiburg were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 3:2
    27.04.2024 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 1:2
    09.12.2023 Wolfsburg - Freiburg 0:1
    22.07.2023 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 2:3
    19.05.2023 Freiburg - Wolfsburg 2:0
    Latest results of Wolfsburg
    19.04.2025 Mainz - Wolfsburg 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺
    06.04.2025 Union Berlin - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 0:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Augsburg - Wolfsburg 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4 ✺
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11006:063
    2Union Berlin00000:000
    3Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig10010:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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