Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 36
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Rees J. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Poleon D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 1, Jenks T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hornchurch
32.3% | Draw
25.1% | Worthing
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hornchurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Worthing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Hornchurch - Worthing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(2.98) |
3.71 ↓
(3.85) |
2.18 ↑
(2.07) |
7.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Hornchurch - Worthing?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1.
- Hornchurch is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Worthing has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Worthing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hornchurch has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hornchurch won against Worthing?
Hornchurch has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Worthing won against Hornchurch?
Worthing has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Worthing were as follows:
29.11.2025
Worthing
-
Hornchurch
5:0
25.03.2025
Hornchurch
-
Worthing
1:0
07.09.2024
Worthing
-
Hornchurch
0:0
Latest results of Hornchurch
Latest results of Worthing
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Worthing | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 96:50 | 46 | 81 |
| 2 | Dorking | 44 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 78 |
| 3 | Torquay | 44 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 84:59 | 25 | 77 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 75:60 | 15 | 76 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 44 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 75 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 69:52 | 17 | 74 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 65:41 | 24 | 73 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 43 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 59:47 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 44 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 67:47 | 20 | 71 |
| 10 | Chesham | 44 | 21 | 8 | 15 | 66:51 | 15 | 71 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 67:56 | 11 | 69 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 59:59 | 0 | 63 |
| 13 | AFC Totton | 43 | 18 | 6 | 19 | 54:70 | -16 | 60 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 59:62 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 56 |
| 16 | Slough | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 64:80 | -16 | 51 |
| 17 | Hampton & Richmond | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 55:68 | -13 | 50 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 65:85 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58:72 | -14 | 49 |
| 20 | Salisbury | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 47:63 | -16 | 49 |
| 21 | Chippenham ✔ | 44 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 50:74 | -24 | 42 |
| 22 | Bath | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 44:71 | -27 | 40 |
| 23 | Enfield Town ✔ | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 50:79 | -29 | 37 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro ✔ | 44 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 54:86 | -32 | 33 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chippenham is Relegated to
Enfield Town is Relegated to
Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to
