Hornchurch vs Worthing – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League South Hornchurch - Worthing
Result
1:0
25/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: National League South - Round 26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Balanta A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Hornchurch
27.2%
Draw
26.8%
Worthing
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 27.7% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 27.2% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.
  • Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hornchurch - Worthing Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (2.86)
    3.43
    (3.34)
    1.99
    (2.31)
    8.9%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 1.
    • Recent matches Hornchurch is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Worthing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Worthing have a series of home games.
    • Worthing will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hornchurch - Worthing were as follows:
    07.09.2024 Worthing - Hornchurch 0:0
    Latest results of Hornchurch
    Latest results of Worthing
    22.03.2025 Welling United - Worthing 2:0
    10.03.2025 Aveley - Worthing 1:2
    08.03.2025 Worthing - Chesham United 3:0
    04.03.2025 Worthing - Bath City 2:1
    English National League South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hornchurch44009:4512
    2Dover43017:439
    3Ebbsfleet43014:229
    4Hemel Hempstead42206:338
    5Maidstone42205:238
    6Chesham42205:328
    7Torquay32107:347
    8Bath42115:327
    9Weston-super-Mare42115:417
    10Chelmsford42113:217
    11AFC Totton42027:616
    12Worthing41215:505
    13Hampton & Richmond31113:214
    14Slough41122:3-14
    15Farnborough41125:7-24
    16Dorking41124:7-34
    17Tonbridge40312:5-33
    18Maidenhead40223:5-22
    19Dag & Red30212:4-22
    20Enfield Town40221:4-32
    21Salisbury40220:3-32
    22Horsham FC30123:5-21
    23Chippenham40134:7-31
    24Eastbourne Boro40132:6-41

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation