Result
3:0
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.52 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
71% | 29% |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (456/533) | 61% (138/226) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.52 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.56 | 0.58 |
Total shots |
---|
24 | 3 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
12 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 2 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
9 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 7 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 9 |
Passes |
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86% (456/533) | 61% (138/226) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (17/38) | 22% (16/72) |
Passes in final third |
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81% (189/233) | 44% (24/54) |
Crosses |
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37% (13/35) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.43 | 0.18 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 6 |
Tackles |
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40% (6/15) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 38 |
Clearances Total |
---|
25 | 34 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.58 | 2.56 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.31 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Webster C. 🟥,
- 33', Rathbone O. 🟨,
- 34', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
- 46', Dobson G. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
- 49', Dodgson O. 🟨,
- 62', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 0, Fletcher S. (Pen),
- 74', 2 - 0, Smith S. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
- 77', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
- 78', Burrell R. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
- 79', Larsson J. ↓, Forde A. ↑,
- 85', Armer J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
- 90', Crocombe M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wrexham 61.1% | Draw 24.2% | Burton Albion 14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Wrexham - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.54 ↑ (1.53) |
3.91 ↑ (3.75) |
6.41 ↑ (5.75) |
6.1% (9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Wrexham - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59.8% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Burton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.
- In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
- There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L.
(Inactive)
Boyle W.
(Inactive)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Burton: Akoto N.
(Inactive)
Bajrami G.
(Knee Injury)
Gilligan C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J.
(Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Tavares F.
(Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Burton Albion?
Wrexham has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Wrexham?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Burton Albion were as follows:
07.12.2024
Burton Albion
-
Wrexham
0:1
05.12.2023
Wrexham
-
Burton Albion
2:3
Latest results of Wrexham
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two