Wrexham vs Burton Albion: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Racecourse Ground (Wrexham).

: League One - Round 41
Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.52	0.47
Ball Possession
71%	29%
Total shots
24	3
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
86% (456/533)	61% (138/226)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.56	0.58
Total shots
24	3
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
12	0
Blocked Shots
7	1
Shots inside the Box
15	2
Shots outside the Box
9	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
35	7
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
86% (456/533)	61% (138/226)
Long passes
45% (17/38)	22% (16/72)
Passes in final third
81% (189/233)	44% (24/54)
Crosses
37% (13/35)	15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.18
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
40% (6/15)	54% (7/13)
Duels won
54	38
Clearances Total
25	34
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.58	2.56
Goals prevented
0.31	-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Webster C. 🟥,
33', Rathbone O. 🟨,
34', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
46', Dobson G. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
49', Dodgson O. 🟨,
62', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Fletcher S. (Pen),
74', 2 - 0, Smith S. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
77', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
78', Burrell R. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
79', Larsson J. ↓, Forde A. ↑,
85', Armer J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
90', Crocombe M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Wrexham
61.1%

Draw
24.2%

Burton Albion
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Wrexham - Burton Albion Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	3.91 ↑ (3.75)	6.41 ↑ (5.75)	6.1% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Wrexham - Burton Albion?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 12 - 80%). Burton will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 59.8% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Burton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.
In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)
There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Tavares F. (Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Burton Albion?

Wrexham has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Wrexham?

Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Burton Albion were as follows:

07.12.2024 Burton Albion - Wrexham 0:1

05.12.2023 Wrexham - Burton Albion 2:3

Latest results of Wrexham

01.04.2025 Cambridge United - Wrexham 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Wrexham - Stockport County 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Wrexham 0:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Reading - Wrexham 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Burton Albion

01.04.2025 Burton Albion - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Stockport County - Burton Albion 2:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers 1:2 ✺

04.03.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion 2:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Luton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Which TV channels are streaming of Wrexham - Burton Albion?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+