Lincoln City vs Wrexham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

LNER stadium (Lincoln).

League One - Round 46
Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.30
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
83% (387/464)	78% (291/373)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	1.46
Total shots
18	12
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
13	9
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	5
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
38	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	5
Free Kicks
12	6
Passes
83% (387/464)	78% (291/373)
Long passes
38% (21/56)	38% (28/73)
Passes in final third
64% (86/135)	66% (61/93)
Crosses
17% (5/29)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.64
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
6	12
Tackles
50% (7/14)	31% (5/16)
Duels won
42	52
Clearances
14	36
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.46	0.78
Goals prevented
-0.54	0.78

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
61', 0 - 2, Longman R. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
62', Longman R. 🟨,
64', Gardner J. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
65', House B. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
65', McClean J. 🟨,
71', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
72', Lee E. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
73', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
74', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
74', Erhahon E. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
74', Hamilton E. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
76', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
85', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Lincoln City
35%

Draw
28.2%

Wrexham
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lincoln City - Wrexham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.18)	3.35 ↑ (3.27)	2.54 ↑ (2.25)	6.5% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Wrexham?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 46.1% – 91.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Wrexham is Qualified for Championship
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B. (Injury) Jefferies D. (Injury) Makama J. (Injury)
There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Calf Injury) Boyle W. (Calf Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Evans G. (Inactive) Faal M. (Inactive) Palmer O. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Wrexham?

Lincoln City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Lincoln City?

Wrexham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Wrexham were as follows:

26.11.2024 Wrexham - Lincoln City 1:0

Latest results of Lincoln City

26.04.2025 Stockport County - Lincoln City 3:2 ✺

21.04.2025 Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers 4:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Reading - Lincoln City 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Lincoln City - Shrewsbury Town 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Charlton Athletic - Lincoln City 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Wrexham

26.04.2025 Wrexham - Charlton Athletic 3:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Blackpool - Wrexham 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Wrexham - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Wigan Athletic - Wrexham 0:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Wrexham - Burton Albion 3:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Luton	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
2	Stockport County	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Bolton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Reading	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Wigan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Barnsley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Blackpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Cardiff	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Plymouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Doncaster	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Huddersfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Leyton Orient	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Northampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Port Vale	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wycombe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bradford City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Lincoln	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Mansfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Peterborough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Rotherham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Burton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Exeter	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Stevenage	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two