Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/464) | 78% (291/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (387/464) | 78% (291/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (21/56) | 38% (28/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (86/135) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/29) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 31% (5/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.54 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 53', 0 - 1, Lee E. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
- 61', 0 - 2, Longman R. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
- 62', Longman R. 🟨,
- 64', Gardner J. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
- 65', House B. ↓, Bayliss T. ↑,
- 65', McClean J. 🟨,
- 71', Longman R. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
- 72', Lee E. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
- 73', Hackett-Fairchild R. 🟨,
- 74', Hackett-Fairchild R. ↓, Okoro Z. ↑,
- 74', Erhahon E. ↓, McGrandles C. ↑,
- 74', Hamilton E. ↓, Draper F. ↑,
- 76', Rathbone O. ↓, O'Connor T. ↑,
- 85', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
35% | Draw
28.2% | Wrexham
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lincoln City's performance.Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lincoln City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lincoln City - Wrexham Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(3.18) |
3.35 ↑
(3.27) |
2.54 ↑
(2.25) |
6.5%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Wrexham?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Wrexham is Qualified for Championship
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
- Recent performances by Lincoln have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Wrexham is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Cadamarteri B.
(Injury)
Jefferies D.
(Injury)
Makama J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Boyle W.
(Calf Injury)
Cannon A.
(Knee Injury)
Evans G.
(Inactive)
Faal M.
(Inactive)
Palmer O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wrexham: Revan S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Wrexham?
Lincoln City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wrexham won against Lincoln City?
Wrexham has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Wrexham were as follows:
26.11.2024
Wrexham
-
Lincoln City
1:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Wrexham
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Luton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Wigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Reading | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 22 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
