Wrexham vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.15
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
79% (305/387)82% (339/413)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.08
Total shots
116
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (305/387)82% (339/413)
Long passes
38% (20/52)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)62% (57/92)
Crosses
22% (4/18)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.19
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1212
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
3237
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.080.69
Goals prevented
0.08-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. , Moore K. (A),
  • 37', Hyam D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mills S. , Lankshear W. ,
  • 60', Broadhead N. , Windass J. ,
  • 65', Dembele S. 🟨,
  • 67', Doyle C. 🟥,
  • 69', Thomason G. , Brunt L. ,
  • 70', Dembele S. , Krastev F. ,
  • 70', Prelec N. , Harris M. ,
  • 80', Vaulks W. , Harris L. ,
  • 80', Spencer B. , Placheta P. ,
  • 83', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 87', Kabore I. , Scarr D. ,
  • 88', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 88', Cacace L. , Longman R. ,
  • 90+6', Smith S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
49.6%
Draw
26.6%
Oxford United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25.8% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 25.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Wrexham - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.79)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    5.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Oxford United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Wrexham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.18%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wrexham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Wrexham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry39248781:404180
    2Middlesbrough392011859:372271
    3Ipswich381912767:392869
    4Millwall392091053:44969
    5Hull392061362:57566
    6Southampton3917121063:481563
    7Wrexham3917121060:51963
    8Derby391791356:48860
    9Watford3914141150:46456
    10Norwich391661752:46654
    11Birmingham3914111448:49-153
    12QPR391581655:61-653
    13Preston3913131345:49-452
    14Swansea391571744:49-552
    15Stoke391491646:43351
    16Bristol City391491649:50-151
    17Sheffield Utd391551954:54050
    18Charlton3912121536:46-1048
    19Blackburn3911101836:49-1343
    20West Brom3911101840:54-1443
    21Portsmouth3810101837:54-1740
    22Leicester3911121651:60-939
    23Oxford Utd399121836:51-1539
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 39192924:79-55-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One