Wrexham vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.15
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
79% (305/387)82% (339/413)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.690.15
xG on target (xGOT)
0.690.08
Total shots
116
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
05
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2910
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
79% (305/387)82% (339/413)
Long passes
38% (20/52)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)62% (57/92)
Crosses
22% (4/18)5% (1/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.580.19
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1212
Tackles
80% (8/10)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4858
Clearances
3237
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.080.69
Goals prevented
0.08-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. , Moore K. (A),
  • 37', Hyam D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mills S. , Lankshear W. ,
  • 60', Broadhead N. , Windass J. ,
  • 65', Dembele S. 🟨,
  • 67', Doyle C. 🟥,
  • 69', Thomason G. , Brunt L. ,
  • 70', Dembele S. , Krastev F. ,
  • 70', Prelec N. , Harris M. ,
  • 80', Vaulks W. , Harris L. ,
  • 80', Spencer B. , Placheta P. ,
  • 83', Moore K. 🟨,
  • 87', Kabore I. , Scarr D. ,
  • 88', Moore K. , Smith S. ,
  • 88', Cacace L. , Longman R. ,
  • 90+6', Smith S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wrexham
49.6%
Draw
26.6%
Oxford United
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 25.8% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 25.6% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Wrexham - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.79)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    4.02
    (4.4)
    5.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Oxford United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Wrexham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (23 of 26 users predict this - 88.46%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.18%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wrexham will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 and 20).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Wrexham is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Oxford: Johnson J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Wrexham
    18.10.2025 Stoke City - Wrexham 1:0
    03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1
    30.09.2025 Leicester City - Wrexham 1:1
    27.09.2025 Wrexham - Derby County 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One