Wuhan Three Towns vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

15/04/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan).

Super League - Round 7
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Russia	Telekanal Futbol

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	2.72
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
11	7
Big Chances
4	5
Corner Kicks
8	7
Passes
81% (261/324)	90% (603/670)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	2.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.75	3.16
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
11	7
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
10	13
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
4	5
Corner Kicks
8	7
Touches in opposition box
28	33
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
17	16
Passes
81% (261/324)	90% (603/670)
Long passes
52% (24/46)	61% (23/38)
Passes in final third
70% (59/84)	84% (120/143)
Crosses
29% (7/24)	43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	1.22
Fouls
16	17
Tackles
87% (13/15)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
48	52
Clearances Total
14	24
Interceptions
5	4
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
xGOT faced
3.16	3.75
Goals prevented
-0.84	-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Guga (A),
23', 0 - 2, Zhang Yuning ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Palacios M. ⚽, Zheng Haoqian (A),
34', 1 - 3, Serginho ⚽, Guga (A),
42', Dawhan ↓, Chi Zhongguo ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Zheng Kaimu ↓, Darlan ↑,
56', Spajic U. ↓, Bai Yang ↑,
57', Zhang Yuning ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
57', Han Jiaqi ↓, Hou Sen ↑,
69', 1 - 4, Yang Liyu ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
71', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
74', Serginho ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
76', Liao Chengjian 🟨,
76', Wang Jinxian ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
81', Hang Ren ↓, Liu Yiming ↑,
82', Liao Chengjian ↓, Long Wei ↑,
82', Palacios M. ↓, Zhang Zhenyang ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Zhong Jinbao ⚽, Gustavo Sauer (A),
90+4', 3 - 4, Gustavo Sauer (Pen),
90+8', Wang Gang 🟨,
90+10', 4 - 4, Zhang Zhenyang ⚽, Gustavo Sauer (A),

Chances of winning

Wuhan Three Towns
20.5%

Draw
24.7%

Beijing Guoan
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

23.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

23%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.74)	3.78 ↓ (3.95)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)	7.3% (6.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan Three Towns won 2.
Wuhan Three Towns is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Beijing Guoan is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Beijing Guoan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Beijing Guoan is a favorite.
There will not play in Beijing Guoan: He Yupeng (Inactive)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Wuhan Three Towns won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan Three Towns won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Beijing Guoan?

Wuhan Three Towns has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Wuhan Three Towns?

Beijing Guoan has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan were as follows:

07.07.2024 Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns 1:2

30.03.2024 Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan 0:1

16.07.2023 Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns 1:1

20.04.2023 Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan 1:1

08.11.2022 Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns 0:2

Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns

12.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun 3:1 ✺

06.04.2025 Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns 1:1 ✺

28.03.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Zhejiang Professional 0:4 ✺

03.03.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Beijing Guoan

06.04.2025 Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional 2:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan 2:2 ✺

29.03.2025 Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan 2:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Beijing Guoan 0:2 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Shenhua	19	14	3	2	46:23	23	45
2	Shanghai Port	19	12	5	2	45:25	20	41
3	Chengdu Rongcheng	19	12	4	3	37:16	21	40
4	Beijing Guoan	19	11	6	2	40:22	18	39
5	Zhejiang Professional	19	8	5	6	39:30	9	29
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	19	8	5	6	27:29	-2	29
7	Dalian Yingbo	19	8	5	6	21:24	-3	29
8	Shandong Taishan	19	8	4	7	37:31	6	28
9	Yunnan Yukun	19	7	5	7	30:32	-2	26
10	Qingdao West Coast	19	6	8	5	26:28	-2	26
11	Wuhan Three Towns	19	5	6	8	25:34	-9	21
12	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	19	5	2	12	24:42	-18	17
13	Henan Songshan Longmen	19	4	4	11	28:35	-7	16
14	Meizhou Hakka	19	3	4	12	24:43	-19	13
15	Qingdao Hainiu	19	2	5	12	15:31	-16	11
16	Changchun Yatai	19	2	3	14	15:34	-19	9

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