Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Port – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wuhan Sports Centre (Wuhan).

Super League - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	1.89
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
7	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
82% (302/369)	87% (496/569)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03	1.89
xG on target (xGOT)
1.08	1.28
Total shots
17	14
Shots on target
7	6
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
4	5
Shots inside the Box
12	10
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
3	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
24	26
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
15	9
Passes
82% (302/369)	87% (496/569)
Long passes
53% (31/58)	50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
71% (66/93)	79% (150/190)
Crosses
19% (5/27)	27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.95	1.37
Throw-ins
22	15
Fouls
9	15
Tackles
67% (6/9)	75% (18/24)
Duels won
45	51
Clearances
25	21
Interceptions
13	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	7
xGOT faced
1.28	1.08
Goals prevented
-0.72	1.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Wang Shenchao ⚽, Xu Xin (A),
45', 0 - 2, Mateus Vital ⚽, Xu Xin (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Liu Ruofan ↓, Wu Lei ↑,
57', Gustavo Sauer 🟨,
62', Wang Jinxian ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
62', Liao Chengjian ↓, Darlan ↑,
68', Gabrielzinho ↓, Li X. ↑,
73', Wang Denny ↓, Chen Zhechao ↑,
73', Liu Yiming ↓, He Guan ↑,
80', Xu Xin ↓, Kuai Jiwen ↑,
80', Leonardo ↓, Li Shenglong ↑,
85', Zhang Linpeng 🟨,
86', Ming Tian ↓, Fu Huan ↑,
90+2', Long Wei ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,

Chances of winning

Wuhan Three Towns
29.2%

Draw
24.3%

Shanghai Port
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

21.5%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuhan Three Towns's performance.

Shanghai Port has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Port might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Port than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Port could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.19)	3.85 ↓ (4.35)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)	6.6% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Shanghai Port (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shanghai Port will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 1.
Wuhan Three Towns is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Shanghai Port has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Shanghai Port is the team to beat.
There will not play in Shanghai Port: Browning Tyias (Muscle Injury) Gustavo (Inactive) Wang Zhenao (Knee Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Wuhan Three Towns won against Shanghai Port?

Wuhan Three Towns has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Shanghai Port won against Wuhan Three Towns?

Shanghai Port has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port were as follows:

25.06.2024 Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port 0:2

01.03.2024 Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1

12.07.2023 Shanghai Port - Wuhan Three Towns 3:1

15.04.2023 Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Port 0:2

Latest results of Wuhan Three Towns

01.05.2025 Henan Songshan Longmen - Wuhan Three Towns 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan Three Towns 2:0 ✺

15.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan 4:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Shanghai Port

01.05.2025 Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan 1:2 ✺

25.04.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Port 2:3 ✺

20.04.2025 Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng 1:3 ✺

16.04.2025 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Port 1:4 ✺

06.04.2025 Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua 1:1 ✺

Chinese Super League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Shanghai Port	21	14	5	2	51:27	24	47
2	Shanghai Shenhua	20	14	3	3	47:25	22	45
3	Chengdu Rongcheng	20	13	4	3	39:16	23	43
4	Beijing Guoan	20	12	6	2	44:25	19	42
5	Shandong Taishan	20	9	4	7	39:32	7	31
6	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	20	8	6	6	27:29	-2	30
7	Zhejiang Professional	20	8	5	7	42:34	8	29
8	Yunnan Yukun	21	8	5	8	33:38	-5	29
9	Dalian Yingbo	20	8	5	7	21:26	-5	29
10	Qingdao West Coast	20	6	9	5	26:28	-2	27
11	Wuhan Three Towns	21	5	6	10	27:38	-11	21
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	21	5	4	12	33:40	-7	19
13	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	20	5	2	13	25:46	-21	17
14	Meizhou Hakka	20	4	4	12	26:44	-18	16
15	Qingdao Hainiu	20	3	5	12	20:32	-12	14
16	Changchun Yatai	20	2	3	15	16:36	-20	9

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