Result
4:0
20/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 1
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Longo J. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ruiz K. ↓, Quinonez O. ↑,
- 46', Ibarguen E. ↓, Motta P. ↑,
- 46', Lovato N. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
- 46', Vivas J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 49', Longo J. 🟨,
- 67', 4 - 0, Quiros D. ⚽,
- 71', Diaz Y. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 71', Cardenas S. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
- 71', Longo J. ↓, Tebalan W. ↑,
- 75', 🟨,
- 76', Bajan D. ↓, Joshuaky J. ↑,
- 83', Mingorance P. ↓, Batres J. ↑,
- 85', Lopez A. ↓, Cardoza E. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Xelajú 60.6% | Draw 25% | Aurora 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xelajú's performance.Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aurora might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xelajú that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+5%)
Xelajú - Aurora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.7) |
3.65 ↑ (3.61) |
6.34 ↑ (4.7) |
9.5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Xelajú - Aurora?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Xelajú (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Xelajú will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Xelajú is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Xelajú won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Xelajú won against Aurora?
Xelajú has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurora won against Xelajú?
Aurora has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xelajú - Aurora were as follows:
16.11.2025
Aurora
-
Xelajú
3:2
13.09.2025
Xelajú
-
Aurora
2:2
Guatemala Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coban Imperial | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Comunicaciones | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 | Municipal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Xelaju | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Deportivo Achuapa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Aurora F.C | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Malacateco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 9 | Antigua | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Deportivo Mixco | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Mictlan | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 12 | Marquense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )