Xerez CD vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Castillo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
53.4%
Draw
28.9%
Atlético Malagueño
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25.9% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24.5% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.56)
    3.16
    (3.5)
    5.17
    (5.65)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Xerez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Malagueño is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Xerez is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    06.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD 2:0
    30.11.2025 Xerez CD - Real Jaén 1:0
    16.11.2025 Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva 0:1
    09.11.2025 La Unión - Xerez CD 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC27147635:201549
    2Xerez CD27146728:20848
    3Deportiva Minera27145839:271247
    4CD Extremadura271210541:311046
    5UCAM Murcia27137739:31846
    6Recreativo Huelva27129634:171745
    7Jaen27129634:27745
    8Lorca Deportiva27126927:26142
    9La Union271061133:33036
    10Antoniano271061131:32-136
    11Linares27812731:37-636
    12Yeclano271041322:25-334
    13Puente Genil27891023:30-733
    14Xerez D.F.C277101030:33-331
    15CD Estepona27851428:37-929
    16Melilla275111125:29-426
    17Almeria B27471620:39-1919
    18Malaga B27351922:48-2614

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation