Xerez CD vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
14/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Castillo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
53.4%
Draw
28.9%
Atlético Malagueño
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 25.9% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 24.5% 15.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Atlético Malagueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.56)
    3.16
    (3.5)
    5.17
    (5.65)
    9.5%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Xerez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Malagueño is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Xerez is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    06.12.2025 UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD 2:0
    30.11.2025 Xerez CD - Real Jaén 1:0
    16.11.2025 Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva 0:1
    09.11.2025 La Unión - Xerez CD 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC24137431:151646
    2Recreativo Huelva24118533:161741
    3Deportiva Minera24125734:231141
    4UCAM Murcia24125734:27741
    5Lorca Deportiva24116726:21539
    6Xerez CD24116724:19539
    7Jaen24108629:25438
    8CD Extremadura2399534:29536
    9Yeclano241031121:22-133
    10Antoniano24941128:31-331
    11Linares23710627:32-531
    12La Union2386927:28-130
    13Puente Genil2478921:27-629
    14Xerez D.F.C2469928:31-327
    15Melilla23510821:22-125
    16CD Estepona24651323:34-1123
    17Almeria B24461418:34-1618
    18Malaga B24351618:41-2314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation