Xerez CD vs Estepona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Xerez CD - Estepona
Result
0:1
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Xerez CD
45.4%
Draw
32.7%
Estepona
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 28.8% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6% 25.9% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Estepona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estepona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xerez CD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estepona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Xerez CD - Estepona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.24)
    2.82
    (3.16)
    4.21
    (2.97)
    8.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Xerez is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Estepona is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Xerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Xerez is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Xerez won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Xerez CD - Estepona were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Estepona - Xerez CD 1:1
    14.09.2024 Xerez CD - Estepona 0:1
    Latest results of Xerez CD
    21.09.2025 Águilas - Xerez CD 0:0
    14.09.2025 Xerez CD - Antoniano 2:0
    06.09.2025 Puente Genil - Xerez CD 2:1
    Latest results of Estepona
    14.09.2025 Minera - Estepona 1:0
    24.08.2025 Estepona - Melilla 0:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportiva Minera742114:7714
    2CD Extremadura742110:7314
    3La Union73317:4312
    4Jaen73319:7212
    5Aguilas FC73317:5212
    6UCAM Murcia73319:8112
    7Recreativo Huelva73229:7211
    8Xerez CD73227:5211
    9Yeclano73137:6110
    10Puente Genil72416:5110
    11Melilla72328:719
    12Linares72329:11-29
    13Antoniano72235:7-28
    14CD Estepona72146:7-17
    15Lorca Deportiva71336:7-16
    16Xerez D.F.C71338:11-36
    17Almeria B71062:11-93
    18Malagueno70255:12-72

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