Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (117/214) | 79% (369/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (117/214) | 79% (369/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 44% (22/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (41/88) | 58% (59/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 0, Tan Tiancheng ⚽, Zhang Ao (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Wang S. ↓, Yang H. ↑,
- 46', Hou Yingcheng ↓, Sun Z. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Sun Z. ⚽, Tian Li (A),
- 52', 2 - 1, Yu Xueyi ⚽, Xiaohan L. (A),
- 55', Wu Peng 🟨,
- 60', Wu Peng ↓, Gong Zheng ↑,
- 60', Ablimit Feruk ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
- 62', Xiaohan L. 🟨,
- 66', Tan Tiancheng ↓, Yan Tianyi ↑,
- 66', Ilhamjan Iminjan ↓, Li Diantong ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Ou L. ⚽, Song X. (A),
- 81', Yu Xueyi ↓, Li Jinqing ↑,
- 90', Sun Z. 🟨,
- 90+1', Song X. ↓, Gong Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
40.9% | Draw
30.4% | Kunming City
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(1.93) |
2.99 ↓
(3.38) |
3.15 ↓
(3.51) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Shanxi might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Shanxi Chongde Ronghai won against Kunming City?
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kunming City won against Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
Kunming City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City were as follows:
31.08.2025
Kunming City
-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0:0
22.09.2024
Kunming City
-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
2:1
16.08.2024
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
-
Kunming City
0:1
Latest results of Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Latest results of Kunming City
Chinese Yi League Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guangxi Hengchen ✔ | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 58:15 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Wuxi Wugou | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 38:16 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Shenzhen | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng B | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 5 | Guizhou Zhucheng | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 38:30 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan B | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 38:26 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Nantong Haimen | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 8 | Changchun Xidu | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Jia League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guangxi Hengchen is Qualified for Jia League
