Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Kunming City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.94
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
55% (117/214)79% (369/469)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.94
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.04
Total shots
1113
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
12
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
67
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
55% (117/214)79% (369/469)
Long passes
38% (22/58)44% (22/50)
Passes in final third
47% (41/88)58% (59/101)
Crosses
27% (4/15)41% (9/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.60
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1214
Tackles
90% (9/10)67% (4/6)
Duels won
2725
Clearances
2322
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.040.90
Goals prevented
-0.96-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Yao Zhiyu 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Tan Tiancheng , Zhang Ao (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Wang S. , Yang H. ,
  • 46', Hou Yingcheng , Sun Z. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Sun Z. , Tian Li (A),
  • 52', 2 - 1, Yu Xueyi , Xiaohan L. (A),
  • 55', Wu Peng 🟨,
  • 60', Wu Peng , Gong Zheng ,
  • 60', Ablimit Feruk , Yao Younan ,
  • 62', Xiaohan L. 🟨,
  • 66', Tan Tiancheng , Yan Tianyi ,
  • 66', Ilhamjan Iminjan , Li Diantong ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Ou L. , Song X. (A),
  • 81', Yu Xueyi , Li Jinqing ,
  • 90', Sun Z. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Song X. , Gong Z. ,

Chances of winning


Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
40.9%
Draw
30.4%
Kunming City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 26.9% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 26.8% 26%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shanxi Chongde Ronghai's form might have worsened.
  • Kunming City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunming City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.93)
    2.97
    (3.38)
    3.14
    (3.51)
    10.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Shanxi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Shanxi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0:0
    22.09.2024 Kunming City - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2:1
    16.08.2024 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Kunming City 0:1
    Latest results of Kunming City
    Chinese Yi League Table
    2026

    North
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port B11006:153
    2Taian Tiankuang11003:123
    3Lanzhou Longyuan11001:013
    4Qingdao Red Lions10101:101
    5Changchun Xidu10101:101
    6Nantong Haimen10100:001
    7Shanxi Chongde Ronghai10100:001
    8Dalian Yingbo B10100:001
    9Dalian Kewei10100:001
    10Beijing Technology10010:1-10
    11Shandong Taishan B10011:3-20
    12Shanghai Second10011:6-50


    South
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xiamen Feilu11002:023
    2Hubei Istar11001:013
    3Chengdu Rongcheng B11001:013
    4Jiangxi Lushan10102:201
    5Hangzhou Linping10102:201
    6Shenzhen10101:101
    7Wuhan Three Towns B10101:101
    8Ganzhou Ruishi10100:001
    9Guangdong Mingtu10100:001
    10Wenzhou Professional10010:1-10
    11Guangzhou Dandelion10010:1-10
    12Guizhou Guiyang10010:2-20

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