Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercog – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/05/2026 at 00:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Huzhou, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
73%57%
1st serve points won
55% (46/84)62% (37/60)
2nd serve points won
58% (18/31)38% (17/45)
Break Points Saved
7/135/13
1st return points won
38% (23/60)45% (38/84)
2nd return points won
62% (28/45)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
8/136/13
Service Points Won
56% (64/115)51% (54/105)
Return Points Won
49% (51/105)44% (51/115)
Total Points Won
52% (115/220)48% (105/220)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
63% (10/16)47% (7/15)
Return games won
53% (8/15)38% (6/16)
Total games won
58% (18/31)42% (13/31)

Chances of winning


Xiyu Wang
66.1%
Polona Hercog
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xiyu Wang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Xiyu Wang's performance.
  • Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polona Hercog might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiyu Wang than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Xiyu Wang that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polona Hercog could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Xiyu Wang - Polona Hercog Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.53)

    2.77
    (2.38)
    6.4%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Xiyu Wang - Polona Hercog?
  • Users Predictions: Xiyu Wang will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Xiyu Wang will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Wang is ranked WTA: 170. Hercog is ranked WTA: 249.
    • Wang is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hercog's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Wang might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Wang will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Xiyu Wang
    Latest results of Polona Hercog
    29.04.2026 Yufei Ren - Polona Hercog 1:2
    28.04.2026 Polona Hercog - Xin Gao 2:1
    18.04.2026 Marina Bassols Ribera - Polona Hercog Hercog P. Retired