Result
2:2
01/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Peña Balsamaiso
7.7% | Draw
16% | Yagüe
76.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peña Balsamaiso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peña Balsamaiso's form might have worsened.Yagüe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yagüe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peña Balsamaiso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yagüe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Peña Balsamaiso - Yagüe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.94 ↑
(5.32) |
5.75 ↑
(4.3) |
1.21 ↓
(1.49) |
8.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Peña Balsamaiso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Yagüe's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Yagüe is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peña Balsamaiso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Peña Balsamaiso won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Balsamaiso won against Yagüe?
Peña Balsamaiso has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yagüe won against Peña Balsamaiso?
Yagüe has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peña Balsamaiso - Yagüe were as follows:
19.09.2025
Yagüe
-
Peña Balsamaiso
4:0
05.10.2024
Yagüe
-
Peña Balsamaiso
1:4
02.04.2023
Peña Balsamaiso
-
Yagüe
1:1
04.12.2022
Yagüe
-
Peña Balsamaiso
0:3
Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UD Logrones B | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 68:19 | 49 | 65 |
| 2 | Varea | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Arnedo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 58:23 | 35 | 53 |
| 4 | Oyonesa | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Anguiano | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 39:25 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Calahorra | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 63:19 | 44 | 48 |
| 7 | Agoncillo | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 46:36 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Haro Deportivo | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 9 | Yague | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 41:36 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Vianes | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Comillas | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:46 | -20 | 31 |
| 12 | San Marcial | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 13 | Berceo | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Pradejon | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 22:34 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | CDFC Calzada | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31:47 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Villegas | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 29:55 | -26 | 25 |
| 17 | Autol | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17:64 | -47 | 13 |
| 18 | Pena Balsamaiso | 27 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 18:61 | -43 | 10 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
