Estudiantes de Mérida vs Yaracuyanos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 13

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.34
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
48
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
71
Passes
81% (312/383)74% (221/300)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.260.34
xG on target (xGOT)
0.370.32
Total shots
48
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
167
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
92
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
81% (312/383)74% (221/300)
Long passes
52% (32/61)31% (19/62)
Passes in final third
62% (75/121)46% (31/67)
Crosses
5% (1/21)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.52
Throw-ins
1711
Fouls
1116
Tackles
56% (5/9)80% (12/15)
Duels won
3633
Clearances
1215
Interceptions
15
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.320.37
Goals prevented
-1.680.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Ajam Elias 🟨,
  • 36', Doldan J. 🟨,
  • 37', Cordoba J. B. , Canon M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Hernandez S. , Chacon J. ,
  • 46', Ajam Elias , Alderete E. ,
  • 46', Ordonez E. , Navas Barrera V. H. ,
  • 57', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
  • 60', Fernandez M. , Moreno J. ,
  • 60', Ramirez Holguin W. S. , Lopez A. ,
  • 62', Grueso S. 🟨,
  • 69', Grueso S. , Gonzalez K. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Viez V. , Mosquera L. (A),
  • 72', Guzman S. , Ortiz K. ,
  • 78', Perez J. 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 2, Mosquera L. , Canon M. (A),
  • 81', Gonzalez K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Estudiantes de Mérida
68.7%
Draw
19.7%
Yaracuyanos
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 20.7% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 19.7% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Yaracuyanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.36)
    4.68
    (4.45)
    7.95
    (8.04)
    8.3%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes Mérida (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Est de Mérida may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Est de Mérida is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Est de Mérida won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Est de Mérida won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes de Mérida - Yaracuyanos were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida 2:0
    Latest results of Yaracuyanos
    Venezuelan Primera Division Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1La Guaira ✔ 1165014:6823
    2Universidad Central ✔ 1171323:16722
    3Dep. Tachira1162314:10420
    4Metropolitanos1154214:10419
    5Estudiantes Merida1152418:14417
    6Carabobo1137116:9716
    7Portuguesa1144317:12516
    8Zamora1143412:12015
    9Rayo Zuliano1142512:20-814
    10Puerto Cabello1134412:12013
    11Caracas1125412:15-311
    12Monagas1131711:18-710
    13Anzoategui FC1122711:18-78
    14Trujillanos110478:22-144

          Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Guaira is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
    Universidad Central is Qualified for Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )