Júbilo Iwata vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4
16/11/2024 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 29

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Goal Attempts
2327
Shots on Goal
76
Shots off Goal
1621
Free Kicks
1414
Corner Kicks
37
Offsides
55
Goalkeeper Saves
44
Fouls
97
Yellow Cards
11
Total Passes
331756
Completed Passes
216645
Clearances Completed
2323
Crosses Completed
613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Croux J. , Watanabe R. (A),
  • 45+2', Nishimura T. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Anderson Lopes , Nagato K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 2, Nishimura T. ,
  • 55', Matsumoto M. , Matheus Peixoto ,
  • 55', Nakamura S. , Yamada H. ,
  • 59', Leo Gomes 🟨,
  • 61', Nishimura T. , Uenaka A. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Anderson Lopes ,
  • 66', Leo Gomes , Hirakawa R. ,
  • 66', Watanabe R. , Takahata K. ,
  • 70', 1 - 4, Anderson Lopes ,
  • 72', Elber , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 72', Matsubara K. , Sakakibara K. ,
  • 83', 2 - 4, Germain R. , Matsubara K. (A),
  • 87', Watanabe K. , Mizunuma K. ,
  • 87', Yan , Inoue K. ,
  • 87', Matsubara K. , Fujikawa K. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 4, Germain R. , Fujikawa K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Júbilo Iwata
31.2%
Draw
25.1%
Yokohama F. Marinos
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 23.6% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 23% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Júbilo Iwata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Júbilo Iwata's performance.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yokohama F. Marinos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Júbilo Iwata that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yokohama F. Marinos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3
    (3.86)
    3.75
    (4.03)
    2.16
    (1.84)
    6.3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 13.8%69.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 6).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Iwata won 1.
    • Recent matches Iwata is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Yokohama FM is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Iwata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Yokohama FM is a favorite.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Iwata won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 12-31.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Iwata won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-14.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    03.05.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata 1:1
    19.04.2023 Júbilo Iwata - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:1
    08.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata 1:0
    12.10.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos - Júbilo Iwata 0:1
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers8701015:522
    2FC Tokyo8331113:816
    3Machida7411113:1215
    4Verdy8320312:1113
    5Urawa Reds8302311:1011
    6Kawasaki Frontale7220312:1310
    7Yokohama F. Marinos8300512:129
    8Kashiwa Reysol8210512:138
    9Mito811339:178
    10Chiba810256:145


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kyoto8321212:914
    2Gamba Osaka8232114:1314
    3Vissel Kobe7312112:813
    4Shimizu S-Pulse8223111:1013
    5Nagoya Grampus8312212:1213
    6V-Varen Nagasaki8400410:1112
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima7310312:1011
    8Cerezo Osaka822139:811
    9Okayama821329:1111
    10Avispa Fukuoka802158:175

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)