Result
28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (271/364) | 79% (334/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (271/364) | 79% (334/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (24/56) | 42% (24/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (78/115) | 70% (102/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 35% (6/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Hiraoka T. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 60', Suzuki J. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Elber ⚽,
- 66', Suzuki A. 🟨,
- 67', Inoue K. 🟨,
- 70', Watanabe T. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
- 71', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
- 71', Barada A. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
- 77', Elber ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 77', Amano J. ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
- 79', Fukuda S. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 79', Suzuki A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
- 86', Suzuki T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
42.6% | Draw
26.8% | Yokohama F. Marinos
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.49) |
3.53 ↑
(3.52) |
3.08 ↑
(2.75) |
5.7%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 38.8% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Shonan Bellmare (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Yokohama FM (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Yokohama FM (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 0.
- Shonan Bellmare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Yokohama FM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Shonan Bellmare has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Shonan Bellmare?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
28.02.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Shonan Bellmare
1:1
30.11.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
13.04.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Shonan Bellmare
2:2
02.07.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Shonan Bellmare
4:1
15.04.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Machida | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Verdy | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 5 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 9 | Mito | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
