Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 22
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.01
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	4
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
74% (271/364)	79% (334/425)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13	1.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.14	1.16
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
3	4
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked Shots
1	3
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
18	25
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
74% (271/364)	79% (334/425)
Long passes
43% (24/56)	42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
68% (78/115)	70% (102/146)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.42	1.09
Throw-ins
16	25
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
63% (10/16)	67% (4/6)
Duels won
46	47
Clearances
27	24
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.16	1.14
Goals prevented
0.16	0.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Hiraoka T. ⚽, Suzuki A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
60', Suzuki J. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Elber ⚽,
66', Suzuki A. 🟨,
67', Inoue K. 🟨,
70', Watanabe T. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
71', Hiraoka T. ↓, Okuno H. ↑,
71', Barada A. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
77', Elber ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
77', Amano J. ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
79', Fukuda S. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
79', Suzuki A. ↓, Oda Y. ↑,
86', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
42.6%

Draw
26.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.49)	3.53 ↑ (3.52)	3.08 ↑ (2.75)	5.7% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 38.8% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 0.
Shonan Bellmare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Yokohama FM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Shonan Bellmare has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shonan Bellmare has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Shonan Bellmare?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

28.02.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare 1:1

30.11.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:3

13.04.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare 2:2

02.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shonan Bellmare 4:1

15.04.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:1

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

14.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Gifu 2:0 ✺

08.06.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Shonan Bellmare 1:0 ✺

04.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Júbilo Iwata 2:0 ✺

01.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

21.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

11.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - ReinMeer Aomori 0:2 ✺

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	23	10	7	6	32:24	8	37
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	23	8	7	8	21:23	-2	31
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League