Result
1:3
11/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (356/432) | 75% (244/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 2.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (356/432) | 75% (244/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (36/68) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (81/132) | 59% (47/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.17 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Sato K. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kimura T. ↓, Sekitomi K. ↑,
- 49', Muroya S. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 2, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Muroya S. (A),
- 69', Yuri Araujo ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
- 69', Tanimura K. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 2, Kato R. ⚽, Yamane R. (A),
- 75', Watanabe K. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
- 76', Muroya S. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
- 76', Sato R. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 3, Asada H. (Own goal),
- 82', Koizumi K. 🟨,
- 85', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Otani D. C. ↑,
- 85', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 87', Croux J. ↓, Tevis ↑,
- 90', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
23% | Draw
26.7% | Tokyo
50.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yokohama F. Marinos's form might have worsened.Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(3.09) |
3.5 ↓
(3.52) |
1.89 ↓
(2.22) |
6.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Tokyo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tokyo: 9.6% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Tokyo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Quinones J.
(Red Card)
Suzuki T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Morishige M.
(Muscle Injury)
Nagakura M.
(Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Kimura R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Endo K.
(Injury)
Marcelo Ryan
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 41:33. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Tokyo?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Tokyo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo were as follows:
07.03.2026
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
3:0
28.09.2025
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
25.06.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
0:3
28.09.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
1:3
19.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
