Carlisle United vs York City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Brunton Park (Carlisle).

National League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
6	6
Shots on target
1	4
Corner kicks
6	3
Total shots
6	6
Shots on target
1	4
Shots off target
5	2
Corner kicks
6	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Stones J. ⚽, Brookes B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', Hayden A. ↓, Mugabi B. ↑,
71', Harper C. ↓, Galvin R. ↑,
71', Ellis J. ↓, Armstrong L. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Hunt A. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Brookes B. ↓, Newby A. ↑,
76', Hunt A. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
85', Howe C. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
85', Stones J. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
85', Kitching M. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
85', Gilliead A. ↓, Embleton E. ↑,
90+8', 0 - 3, Newby A. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Carlisle United
31.4%

Draw
26.9%

York City
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

26.3%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

25.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Carlisle United - York City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	3.42 ↓ (3.53)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	8.2% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Carlisle United - York City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - York (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: York City will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): York City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. York (votes: 4 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two).
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
York is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against York City?

Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has York City won against Carlisle United?

York City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Carlisle United - York City were as follows:

23.09.2025 York City - Carlisle United 5:0

Latest results of Carlisle United

17.01.2026 Solihull Moors - Carlisle United 3:3 ✺

10.01.2026 Chatham Town - Carlisle United 1:0 ✺

03.01.2026 Carlisle United - Wealdstone 2:0 ✺

30.12.2025 Carlisle United - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Gateshead - Carlisle United 0:3 ✺

Latest results of York City

17.01.2026 York City - Southend United 1:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Sutton United - York City 1:2 ✺

30.12.2025 Altrincham - York City 1:2 ✺

26.12.2025 York City - Boston United 2:2 ✺

20.12.2025 York City - Truro City 4:0 ✺

English National League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	York City	43	31	8	4	109:40	69	101
2	Rochdale	43	31	6	6	83:38	45	99
3	Carlisle	43	26	8	9	80:51	29	86
4	Boreham Wood	43	24	9	10	88:58	30	81
5	Scunthorpe	43	22	12	9	75:60	15	78
6	Forest Green	43	21	12	10	73:49	24	75
7	Southend	41	20	11	10	70:40	30	71
8	FC Halifax	43	19	9	15	66:60	6	66
9	Hartlepool	42	16	14	12	47:49	-2	62
10	Tamworth	43	16	10	17	57:68	-11	58
11	Woking	42	14	14	14	61:52	9	56
12	Wealdstone	42	15	9	18	63:68	-5	54
13	Solihull Moors	42	13	12	17	67:68	-1	51
14	Yeovil	43	15	5	23	47:61	-14	50
15	Boston Utd	42	12	13	17	55:65	-10	49
16	Altrincham	43	14	6	23	49:63	-14	48
17	Sutton	43	11	14	18	58:73	-15	47
18	Gateshead	43	13	8	22	52:84	-32	47
19	Aldershot	42	13	7	22	68:80	-12	46
20	Eastleigh	43	12	10	21	55:78	-23	46
21	Brackley Town	43	9	12	22	38:70	-32	39
22	Morecambe	43	9	11	23	65:90	-25	38
23	Braintree ✔	43	8	12	23	35:66	-31	36
24	Truro ✔	43	7	10	26	40:70	-30	31

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Braintree is Relegated to
Truro is Relegated to