York City vs Carlisle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League York City - Carlisle United
Result
5:0
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
97
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Fagan-Walcott M. , Pearce O. (A),
  • 29', Thomas T. 🟨,
  • 39', 2 - 0, Pearce O. (Pen),
  • 39', Breeze G. 🟨,
  • 44', 3 - 0, Pearce O. , Boateng H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 4 - 0, Newby A. , Grey J. (A),
  • 51', Grey J. 🟨,
  • 56', Ellis J. , Kelly G. ,
  • 60', Gilliead A. 🟨,
  • 61', Boateng H. , Batty D. ,
  • 61', Sinclair T. , Brookes B. ,
  • 65', Hunt A. 🟨,
  • 65', Murray S. , Jones J. ,
  • 67', Linney R. , Whelan C. ,
  • 68', Wearne S. , Feeney M. ,
  • 70', Brookes B. 🟨,
  • 73', Pearce O. , Stones J. ,
  • 73', Grey J. , Fallowfield R. ,
  • 80', Newby A. , Banks O. ,
  • 82', Armstrong L. , Luamba J. ,
  • 86', 5 - 0, Stones J. ,
  • 90+1', Whelan C. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Feeney M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Stones J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


York City
67.6%
Draw
17.3%
Carlisle United
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 25.2% 24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 24.3% 23.9%

York City - Carlisle United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.85)
7.64
(3.67)
8.95
(3.72)
-17.2%
(8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for York City - Carlisle United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for York: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • York is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, York won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, York won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of York City
    20.09.2025 York City - Solihull Moors 0:1
    13.09.2025 Braintree Town - York City 2:3
    09.09.2025 York City - Tamworth 4:0
    06.09.2025 Yeovil Town - York City 1:3
    25.08.2025 Woking - York City 1:1
    Latest results of Carlisle United
    English National League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochdale14111227:72034
    2Scunthorpe1696128:141433
    3Carlisle16103330:181233
    4Boreham Wood1695230:171332
    5Forest Green1695225:131232
    6Southend1584325:111428
    7York City1576231:151627
    8FC Halifax1674524:24025
    9Tamworth1674520:22-225
    10Hartlepool1657418:13522
    11Wealdstone1664624:24022
    12Eastleigh1664618:19-122
    13Boston Utd1655618:23-520
    14Yeovil1662818:24-620
    15Gateshead1654724:34-1019
    16Woking1645720:20017
    17Brackley Town1545610:15-517
    18Solihull Moors1645717:28-1117
    19Altrincham16421018:25-714
    20Aldershot1634929:35-613
    21Braintree1634913:24-1113
    22Truro16331017:27-1012
    23Morecambe15321021:41-2011
    24Sutton1616920:32-129

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation