Result
5:0
23/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | DAZN |
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Australia | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | DAZN |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Bulgaria | DAZN |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | DAZN |
 Croatia | DAZN |
 Cyprus | DAZN |
 Czech-republic | DAZN |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Finland | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | DAZN |
 Hong-kong | DAZN |
 Hungary | DAZN |
 India | DAZN |
 Indonesia | DAZN |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | DAZN |
 Latvia | DAZN |
 Lithuania | DAZN |
 Malaysia | DAZN |
 Mexico | DAZN |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Nigeria | DAZN |
 North-macedonia | DAZN |
 Norway | DAZN |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Philippines | DAZN |
 Poland | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | DAZN |
 Russia | DAZN |
 Serbia | DAZN |
 Slovenia | DAZN |
 South-africa | DAZN |
 South-korea | DAZN |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | DAZN |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 Thailand | DAZN |
 Ukraine | DAZN |
 United-arab-emirates | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Uzbekistan | DAZN |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
 Vietnam | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Fagan-Walcott M. ⚽, Pearce O. (A),
- 29', Thomas T. 🟨,
- 39', 2 - 0, Pearce O. (Pen),
- 39', Breeze G. 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 0, Pearce O. ⚽, Boateng H. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 4 - 0, Newby A. ⚽, Grey J. (A),
- 51', Grey J. 🟨,
- 56', Ellis J. ↓, Kelly G. ↑,
- 60', Gilliead A. 🟨,
- 61', Boateng H. ↓, Batty D. ↑,
- 61', Sinclair T. ↓, Brookes B. ↑,
- 65', Hunt A. 🟨,
- 65', Murray S. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 67', Linney R. ↓, Whelan C. ↑,
- 68', Wearne S. ↓, Feeney M. ↑,
- 70', Brookes B. 🟨,
- 73', Pearce O. ↓, Stones J. ↑,
- 73', Grey J. ↓, Fallowfield R. ↑,
- 80', Newby A. ↓, Banks O. ↑,
- 82', Armstrong L. ↓, Luamba J. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 0, Stones J. ⚽,
- 90+1', Whelan C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Feeney M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Stones J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
York City
67.6% | Draw
17.3% | Carlisle United
15.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in York City's performance.Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-15.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
York City - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.85) |
7.64 ↑
(3.67) |
8.95 ↑
(3.72) |
-17.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for York City - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Carlisle will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for York: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carlisle (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- York is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, York won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, York won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has York City won against Carlisle United?
York City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against York City?
Carlisle United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between York City - Carlisle United were as follows:
Latest results of York City
Latest results of Carlisle United
English National League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rochdale | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 24:7 | 17 | 30 |
| 2 | Forest Green | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 29 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 13 | 28 |
| 5 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 25:13 | 12 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Halifax | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | York City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:12 | 12 | 22 |
| 8 | Southend | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 9 | Tamworth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Wealdstone | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 11 | Yeovil | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 17:20 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Hartlepool | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 14 | Gateshead | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 22:32 | -10 | 17 |
| 15 | Boston Utd | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 16 | Brackley Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 16 |
| 17 | Solihull Moors | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:26 | -11 | 14 |
| 18 | Woking | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
| 19 | Aldershot | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 13 |
| 20 | Altrincham | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 |
| 21 | Braintree | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 22 | Sutton | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 8 |
| 23 | Truro | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13:24 | -11 | 8 |
| 24 | Morecambe | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16:36 | -20 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
